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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Google's free unlimited Photos storage offer is an object lesson in anticompetitive behavior that helped drive startups like Everpix and Loom out of the market

A new policy perfectly illustrates a core issue across the industry  —  After five years of Google Photos offering unlimited …

OneZero Will Oremus

Context & Ripple Effects

When Google launched Google Photos in 2015 with free unlimited storage — compressed images up to 16MP and video up to 1080p — it set the reference price for consumer photo backup at zero. The retreat began quietly: the Pixel 4 shipped in 2019 without free full-resolution backups, ending one of the phone line's original selling points.

This week Google made the exit explicit, announcing that unlimited storage ends June 1, 2021 under a 15GB cap, with uploads made before the cutoff grandfathered. OneZero's argument is that those five free years were not generosity but a moat: startups like Everpix and Loom, which could not subsidize storage indefinitely, were driven out while Google accumulated the user base.

First-order effects

  • Independent photo-backup startups spent half a decade competing against a price of zero they could not match — Everpix and Loom exited the market, and survivors now face a category where Google alone sets the paid tier.
  • Users who uploaded before the June 1, 2021 cutoff keep grandfathered storage, so the practical effect of the cap is to raise switching costs precisely as Google starts charging.

Second-order effects

  • Third parties built on Google's free tier — HP and TimeHop joined the 2018 partner program and API — and the 15GB cap forces those partners to reprice their offerings or absorb storage costs they never budgeted for.
  • With Google finally charging, rivals regain the ability to compete on price and features instead of losing by default to free, reshaping the paid cloud-storage market Google's subsidy had frozen.

Third-order effects

  • The playbook — subsidize a category to zero until independents fold, then monetize the locked-in base — is exactly the conduct antitrust enforcers target, and Google's scale across adjacent services makes each such episode harder to dismiss as isolated.
  • Grandfathering turns a pricing change into a lock-in mechanism: because existing photos don't count against the cap, leaving becomes costlier than paying, entrenching data gravity as the durable competitive asset.

The trend: Platform giants are cycling through below-cost free tiers to clear independent competitors out of consumer categories, then flipping to paid once the market consolidates — a pattern drawing growing regulatory scrutiny.

Discussion

  • @zvonicek @zvonicek on x
    “But what Google is doing here, and why it matters, isn't best understood in moral terms. At every step, it was just doing what successful companies do. (...) It's Google's vast size and scope (...) that gave it unmatchable advantages over smaller rivals.” https://onezero.medium.…
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Good example of why “breaking up big tech” arguments are easier said than done. Should Google Photos be spun off to it's own company? It still wouldn't be free. Should Google be banned from making free products when others charge? How would you fix this? https://onezero.medium.co…
  • @ku1deep Kuldeep on x
    Bullshit!! Google just built a better product. Nothing that came before Google photos comes close to it. Gmail did the same thing to hotmail. no one whines about that. https://twitter.com/...