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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Ripple, sitting on $16B in XRP, says it plans to expand beyond its original cross-border payments system by becoming the “Amazon of payments”

The start-up is still trying to find compelling uses for the blockchain technology underpinning its XRP currency

Financial Times Richard Waters

Context & Ripple Effects

Ripple's pitch has always outrun its token's utility: back in early 2018, the 16 banks publicly linked to Ripple said they hadn't used XRP, even as some moved money over its rails, and Forbes argued the token's valuation rested on the unlikely hope it becomes a global reserve currency (that reserve-currency framing). With $16B in XRP sitting on its own balance sheet, the company is now answering the 'what is XRP actually for' question by widening the ambition itself — from cross-border settlement plumbing to an 'Amazon of payments'.

The arc since then validates the pivot rather than the original thesis: Ripple's CEO later tied an IPO exploration to the end of its SEC lawsuit while reporting cross-border volume up 700% YoY to $8B in Q1 2022, and by late 2025 the company carried a $22B–$30B private-market valuation built 'after several major acquisitions' — evidence the diversification strategy, not token adoption, drove enterprise value.

First-order effects

  • Ripple's $16B XRP hoard functions as a strategic war chest: it funds expansion into adjacent payment services at a scale no payments startup rival can match from revenue alone.
  • The banks already running Ripple's rails but skipping XRP get a broader vendor — and a new test of whether the company's growth still requires their token adoption at all.

Second-order effects

  • If Ripple bundles treasury, issuance, and settlement services the way Amazon bundled retail into infrastructure, incumbent correspondent-banking networks face a competitor whose pricing power comes from its balance sheet rather than its fees.
  • Every acquisition Ripple makes with or against its XRP position entrenches the token inside more products, quietly converting skeptics' unused holdings into embedded utility.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern points toward crypto-infrastructure firms separating enterprise value from token value: Ripple's eventual worth rests on the platform and the SEC lawsuit's resolution, not on XRP becoming a reserve currency.
  • If the 'Amazon of payments' structure holds, payments consolidates around a few full-stack platforms that own settlement, liquidity, and compliance end-to-end — with regulators, not network effects alone, deciding who gets to assemble that stack.

The trend: Blockchain payments companies are converting large token treasuries into diversified financial platforms, with regulatory outcomes like Ripple's SEC case setting the pace of monetization.

Discussion

  • @bgarlinghouse Brad Garlinghouse on x
    1/ My fav skeptics are active today! (@FT @nathanielpopper) Ripple has absolutely no plans to ‘reset’ our strategy. Using XRP to solve a real-world, $10T problem, like cross-border payments, is working (1/4) https://www.ft.com/...
  • @nathanielpopper Nathaniel Popper on x
    I'm old enough to remember when the CEO of Ripple promised that banks were planning to use its crypto token XRP in the near future. Now they have acknowledged that hasn't happened — even Ripple's biggest bank investor recently chose not to use it. https://www.ft.com/...
  • @quinnypig HydroxyCoreyQuinn on x
    Well they've gotten the “stupid naming” part down, but didn't Amazon start with a viable business model? https://twitter.com/...
  • @arrington Michael Arrington on x
    The grownup entered the chat. https://twitter.com/...
  • @fintechfrank Frank Chaparro on x
    So Ripple appears to be no longer interested in courting banks to use XRP, and is instead interested in becoming “the Amazon of the cryptocurrency world.” Right. https://www.ft.com/...