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Jack Ma's Ant Group, payments processor for Alibaba, plans a dual listing in Hong Kong and Shanghai, sources say seeking a valuation of $200B+

What you need to know about the dual IPO Paddy Baker / CoinDesk : Alibaba's Ant Group Plans Dual IPOs at Possible $200B Valuation Fortune : Why the world's most valuable unicorn is shunning a U.S. IPO Eileen Yu / ZDNet : Alibaba's Ant Group plans Shanghai, Hong Kong IPOs TheStreet : Hong Kong Stocks Head For Biggest Gain In Two Weeks On Global Rally And Ant Group's Listing Alison Tudor-Ackroyd / South China Morning Post : Jack Ma's Ant to kick start Shanghai and Hong Kong IPOs, bypassing New York Ryan Browne / CNBC : China's Ant to go public in dual Shanghai-Hong Kong listing Mike Orcutt / The Block : What Ant Group's massive IPO might mean for digital currency and blockchains Bloomberg : Ant Group Is Said to Pick Banks for $10 Billion Hong Kong IPO Sherisse Pham / CNN : Jack Ma's Ant Financial chooses China for its IPO Eliza Gkritsi / TechNode : Ant Group's dual listing will be one of the biggest IPOs of 2020 Rita Liao / TechCrunch : Jack Ma's fintech giant Ant starts IPO process in Hong Kong and Shanghai Tweets: Alvin Foo / @alvinfoo : The IPO could peg Ant Group at more than US$200 billion, more valuable than state-owned China Construction Bank and just shy of Bank of America with @JackMa having about 50% of the voting rights. Via @Alipay @AlibabaGroup @antgrouptaoli https://amp.scmp.com/... Jacky Wong / @jackycwong : “The IPO would value Ant Group at more than US$200 billion” So $600 billion at STAR after the first day? https://www.scmp.com/...

Bloomberg Lulu Yilun Chen

Context & Ripple Effects

Ant Group's listing plan has been assembling all year: after a 2018 private round that valued the Alibaba fintech affiliate near $150B at almost $150B, sources reported in early July a Hong Kong IPO targeted as soon as this year as soon as this year. Today's report widens that to a dual Shanghai-Hong Kong listing seeking $200B+, with coverage noting the company is deliberately bypassing New York.

First-order effects

  • Ant's existing backers see their 2018 marks marked up toward a public price more than a third higher, while the Shanghai and Hong Kong exchanges land the world's most valuable unicorn without any U.S. leg competing for it.
  • Underwriters and index providers gain one of the largest-ever Asia-Pacific listings to place, concentrated entirely in two mainland-aligned venues.

Second-order effects

  • Other large Chinese tech companies weighing U.S. listings face a template for going public at home instead — the same dual-venue structure Ant is testing becomes the default pitch from bankers.
  • New York's exchange business loses access to the top tier of Chinese fintech deal flow, pushing the competition for mega-IPOs toward Asian venues.

Third-order effects

  • If the bypass-New-York choice holds across future listings, China's flagship consumer-finance and e-commerce platforms would be priced, regulated, and held predominantly by domestic and regional capital rather than U.S. public markets — a structural split of the global listing market along geopolitical lines.

The trend: China's most valuable technology companies are shifting from U.S.-centric exit plans toward dual domestic listings that keep pricing power and regulatory oversight at home.

Discussion

  • @alvinfoo Alvin Foo on x
    The IPO could peg Ant Group at more than US$200 billion, more valuable than state-owned China Construction Bank and just shy of Bank of America with @JackMa having about 50% of the voting rights. Via @Alipay @AlibabaGroup @antgrouptaoli https://amp.scmp.com/...
  • @jackycwong Jacky Wong on x
    “The IPO would value Ant Group at more than US$200 billion” So $600 billion at STAR after the first day? https://www.scmp.com/...