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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Airbnb had more US bookings from May 17 to June 3 than during the same period in 2019, as vacation-rental sites see domestic reservations increase globally

- Weekend getaways are turning into work-from-home respites  — Airbnb hasn't ruled out an IPO this year, CEO Chesky says

Bloomberg Olivia Carville

Context & Ripple Effects

Two months after COVID-19 forced online travel into a booking slump and pushed Airbnb into easier refunds via its More Flexible Reservations program, demand is snapping back along a different shape than before: domestic stays rather than cross-border trips, with weekend getaways doubling as remote-work respites.

The rebound matters most for Airbnb's financing clock. Chesky says an IPO this year hasn't been ruled out, and the company would go on to tell employees weeks later that its IPO plans are back on track despite the pandemic — this bookings datapoint is the evidence base for that decision.

First-order effects

  • Airbnb's US bookings from May 17 to June 3 exceed the same stretch of 2019, giving the company revenue momentum it lacked in March when bookings slumped across online travel sites.
  • Hosts near drive-to destinations capture the recovering demand first, while vacation-rental sites globally see domestic reservations rise even as long-haul stays stay depressed.

Second-order effects

  • Expedia and Priceline, which had already expanded home-rental inventory — Booking.com growing vacation-rental supply 50% YoY in its push to challenge Airbnb — now chase the same domestic-demand pool, intensifying competition for exactly the listings that can host multi-day work-from-home guests.
  • A stay pattern that blends leisure and remote work plays toward Airbnb for Work, which counted 700,000 companies by 2018 per its own usage report, blurring the line between business-travel and vacation-rental inventory.

Third-order effects

  • If getaways-as-work-respites hardens into longer average stays, the economics that made short-term hosting profitable erode — the dynamic that by 2024 leads some US hosts and property managers to circumvent Airbnb and steer guests to direct bookings per the later host-bypass reporting.
  • A pandemic-era IPO of a home-sharing platform would signal that public markets will price domestic-leisure resilience over international travel exposure, resetting how travel companies structure their listing mix.

The trend: Travel demand is reorienting from international trips toward domestic, work-inflected vacation-rental stays, and that shift is deciding both platform competition and Airbnb's path to going public.

Discussion

  • @mdudas Mike Dudas on x
    You better believe the @Airbnb CFO and bankers are gonna have this puppy listed on the Nasdaq before August is over https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @et_rise Et Rise on x
    The unexpected speed of the comeback has kept @Airbnb's plans for a 2020 public market debut afloat. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ ...
  • @luxury Bloomberg Pursuits on x
    Months of pent-up demand is leading to a rush of summer Airbnb reservations https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @aunkurarya Aunkur Arya on x
    Would have invested in Airbnb at a 50% haircut in less than a heartbeat. Silver Lake will do incredibly well. https://twitter.com/...
  • @jessiwrites Jessi Hempel on x
    My bet has been that Airbnbs are safer than hotels bc less people pass through them from week to week. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @adrianweckler Adrian Weckler on x
    Interesting: Airbnb says domestic bookings are up in the US (a “surge") and some EU countries. But that doesn't mean its overall bookings haven't fallen. It's shedding customer support staff in Dublin. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @rossdawson Ross Dawson on x
    Domestic travel is booming! Airbnb saw more nights booked for U.S. listings between May 17 and June 3 than the same period in 2019, and a similar boost in domestic travel globally AirBnB still considering 2020 IPO https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @greekanalyst @greekanalyst on x
    “People are eager for open spaces like beach towns or mountain villages, which is sparking the vacation rental rebound.” Interesting and promising, especially for the badly hit economies of Southeastern Europe. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @sub8u Subrahmanyam Kvj on x
    Who are we kidding when we say the world will change permanently? “Airbnb saw more nights booked for U.S. listings between May 17 and June 3 than the same period in 2019, and a similar boost in domestic travel globally.” https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @miriamgottfried Miriam Gottfried on x
    Sixth Street Partners and Silver Lake probably feeling pretty good right now. https://twitter.com/...
  • @economics @economics on x
    Weekend getaways are turning into work-from-home respites https://www.bloomberg.com/...