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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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According to a Startup Genome survey of 45 countries, nearly three-quarters of startups have laid off full-time employees due to the COVID-19 crisis

John Koetsier / Forbes :

Forbes John Koetsier

Context & Ripple Effects

Startup Genome's survey across 45 countries turns scattered layoff reports into a global baseline: nearly three-quarters of startups have cut full-time staff. It lands on top of tracking that found 204 startups had already laid off 16,229 employees by mid-April, a count that was nearly doubling week over week.

The mechanism behind the cuts is visible in the same research: Startup Genome finds global venture funding fell 20% since December 2019, with the drop sharper in China. Regional surveys fill in the texture — 49% of surveyed UK startups froze hiring and 30% cut salaries — so the Forbes figure reads less like an outlier and more like the aggregate of what trackers were already counting.

First-order effects

  • Startup employees worldwide are directly affected: with roughly three-quarters of surveyed firms cutting full-time roles, the layoffs tracked piecemeal since March are confirmed as an industry-wide default rather than isolated distress.
  • Founders gain a defensive playbook validated by peers — cutting full-time headcount to extend runway while venture funding is down 20%, rather than pausing at hiring freezes or salary cuts.

Second-order effects

  • With fewer startups hiring, the labor market for experienced startup talent loosens sharply, pressuring later-stage companies and acquirers who compete for the same engineers and operators.
  • Investors face a portfolio-wide triage problem: a 20% funding decline means bridge rounds and follow-ons get rationed, pushing marginal startups toward the layoffs, halted IPOs, and shutdowns already documented in US coverage.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the post-2020 startup cohort gets built on leaner full-time teams and heavier reliance on contractors and automation, resetting expectations for what a funded team looks like.
  • Capital consolidates toward proven performers during downturns, reinforcing the concentration of venture dollars in fewer, larger checks — a dynamic India's later funding crunch would echo.

The trend: The pandemic marked a structural reset in startup staffing, where layoffs became the standard response to contracting venture funding rather than a signal of individual failure.

Discussion

  • @ursbolt @ursbolt on x
    75% of #startups laid off full-time staff; 65% have <6 months of cash. 🆕 Survey of 45 countries by @StartupGenome via @johnkoetsier, @Forbes: http://forbes.com/... #COVID19 #startup #crisis https://twitter.com/...