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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Patreon says 30,000+ creators signed up in the first three weeks of March; average new patron growth in 6 countries, including US and Italy, was 36.2% over Feb.

> https://blog.patreon.com/... @om : I would love if @gofundme would be decent enough to donate all the commissions on the COVID-19 related donations to the charities. https://twitter.com/... Rani Molla / @ranimolla : Patreon is the new having a job and GofundMe is the new insurance https://blog.patreon.com/... See also Mediagazer

Patreon Blog Maura Church

Context & Ripple Effects

Patreon entered 2020 on a steady compounding curve: it had grown from 1M paying patrons and 50K active creators in 2017 to 3M+ patrons supporting 100K+ creators by January 2019, then crossed $1B in cumulative creator payouts that November while planning European expansion. The March numbers mark an inflection in that curve rather than a continuation of it.

What changed is the driver: 30,000+ creators signed up in the first three weeks of March and average new patron growth hit 36.2% over February in six countries including the US and Italy — a surge arriving just as lockdowns cut off live-event and ad-based income for independent creators. Rani Molla's framing captures the shift: Patreon as replacement employment, GoFundMe as replacement insurance.

First-order effects

  • Creators whose income evaporated with closures gain a direct-to-fan revenue channel immediately — Patreon absorbs a wave of new supply (30K+ creators in weeks) while patron signups accelerate in locked-down markets like Italy and the US.

Second-order effects

  • Donation platforms feel the pressure: Om Malik publicly called on GoFundMe to donate its commissions on COVID-related campaigns, putting fee structures at medical-crowdfunding platforms under scrutiny just as Patreon's subscription model scales.
  • An influx of small, new creators forces the discovery problem — Patreon's recommendation-algorithm changes aim to surface smaller creators, since a platform built for established fanbases now has thousands of zero-audience newcomers.

Third-order effects

  • If the shock converts temporary signups into durable memberships, direct fan payment becomes standard income infrastructure for independent creators — a trajectory consistent with Patreon's later scale ($10B+ cumulative payouts and 25M+ paid memberships) and with the workforce restructuring it eventually underwent as the creator economy matured.

The trend: Economic shocks are accelerating the shift of independent creators from ad- and event-dependent income toward direct fan subscriptions, with Patreon as the primary beneficiary and its discovery mechanics deciding who survives the influx.

Discussion

  • @wyatt_earp_ Wyatt Jenkins on x
    Great to see the data on how @Patreon is an effective, reliable monetization method for creators who choose to invest in it. Even in these volatile times. https://blog.patreon.com/... @outoftheverse
  • @glenngabe Glenn Gabe on x
    Patreon says 30K+ creators signed up in the first 3 weeks of March; average new patron growth in 6 countries, including US & Italy, was 36.2% over Feb “Patreon helps creators build direct relationships with their most engaged fans.” https://blog.patreon.com/... via @outoftheverse…
  • @nwquah Nick Quah on x
    interesting Patreon blog post on what they've been seeing the past few weeks essentially: membership is steady, pledge deletion has ticked up, but “not nearly enough to offset the increasing numbers of new pledges” —> https://blog.patreon.com/...
  • @om @om on x
    I would love if @gofundme would be decent enough to donate all the commissions on the COVID-19 related donations to the charities. https://twitter.com/...
  • @ranimolla Rani Molla on x
    Patreon is the new having a job and GofundMe is the new insurance https://blog.patreon.com/...