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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at top Democratic presidential candidates' stances on tech issues like breaking up Big Tech, digital privacy, encryption and backdoors, and Section 230

- Voters from 14 states and one U.S. territory will decide which Democratic candidate to support for the presidential nomination on Super Tuesday.

CNBC Lauren Feiner

Context & Ripple Effects

On the eve of Super Tuesday, CNBC is consolidating the tech-policy positions that have been scattered across the primary since the fall — when Warren and Sanders led the breakup push and rivals like O'Rourke and Yang attacked her plan at the fourth debate. The roundup matters because voters in 14 states are now choosing between those remedies without a single unifying tech stance emerging from the field.

The piece also functions as a baseline for what came after: once Warren and Sanders exited, the political threat to the platforms receded sharply, and by 2024 the party's standard-bearer was a Bay Area product drawing tech-donor support while critics questioned whether she would sustain the aggressive posture.

First-order effects

  • Warren's breakup plan and Sanders' alignment face their first mass test: Super Tuesday voters decide whether antitrust restructuring stays a live primary issue or fades with the field.
  • Candidates who opposed forced breakups — the position aired against Warren at the October debate — get a mandate check on encryption backdoors, privacy legislation, and Section 230 reform as distinct policy tracks rather than one 'Big Tech' bundle.

Second-order effects

  • Platform companies' Washington strategies hinge on the outcome: a moderate nominee softens the breakup threat, shifting lobbying weight toward narrower fights over Section 230 and privacy rules instead of structural separation.
  • Down-ballot tech ballot measures — gig-worker status, warrantless phone searches, publicly funded broadband — inherit whatever framing the presidential contest gives privacy and platform power.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds — vocal breakup advocates exit, nominees with industry ties emerge — Democratic tech policy drifts from structural antitrust toward regulatory and disclosure remedies, leaving Section 230 and encryption debates as the durable battlegrounds regardless of who wins.

The trend: The Democratic Party's posture toward Big Tech is oscillating between structural antitrust ambitions and accommodation of an industry it increasingly relies on for fundraising and campaign infrastructure.

Discussion

  • @danprimack Dan Primack on x
    New Sanders tax plan would really screw over a lot of startup employees — would tax options at vest, rather than at exercise. Many employees would be unable to pay — forcing them either to give up options or take out loans. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @lizwessel Liz Wessel on x
    The only rationale I can think of for Bernie wanting this: he truly doesnt understand anything about startups. This would be awful to so many employees & denounces how much good employees have done @ companies that once were startups &now are meaningful portions of the US economy…
  • @dhh @dhh on x
    “People making more than $130k/yr getting more than $100k in options may have to either find a different compensation scheme or see some taxes”, THE AMERICAN DREAM IS DEAD. WE ARE NOW VENEZUELA. CANCEL RAINBOWS. Ffs. https://twitter.com/...
  • @ijablokov Igor Jablokov on x
    Not sure what @BernieSanders is thinking, this proposed tax bill doesn't take into account how risk/reward economics work in a #startup... Constrain growth & you kneecap your job creation engines that buttress legacy industries that organically atrophy: https://www.axios.com/...
  • @maxlynch Max Lynch on x
    Startup employees/founders likely can't afford to pay taxes on vested options! How do people think someone making $130k can afford to pay tens of thousands in taxes *per vesting year* in something that has not increased their cash on hand? I sure as hell couldn't have! https://tw…
  • @erikbl Erik Blachford on x
    I'm so far left I'm Canadian, but this is too much even for me. Taxing people on the *potential* value of their equity stakes? How are they suppose to pay the tax of the gains are unrealized? Take out a loan? So so so stupid. Come on, Bernie. You can do better. https://twitter.co…
  • @robleathern Rob Leathern on x
    Terrible policy https://twitter.com/...
  • @karlitaliliana @karlitaliliana on x
    This is what I have meant when I say Bernie's analysis of structural racism means that he'll miss bias in details and inadvertently sell the community down the river. When you create policy like this if you're watching out for Black, Latinx, and Native folks you looks for things:…
  • @lessin Sam Lessin on x
    The irony of Sander's tax proposal re: options is that it would be really good for VCs / investors / the real SV 1%. Companies would need to raise more cash from VCs to pay employees & cap table /upside would shift to founders + VCs alone! #thxBernie! https://www.axios.com/...
  • @chetansharma Chetan Sharma on x
    If you wonder why Bernie's bills don't go anywhere, this is exhibit number 379. https://twitter.com/...
  • @richardrubindc Richard Rubin on x
    One more note on this Bernie tax story. In Nov 2017, Republicans proposed the same thing and dropped it after companies freaked out. That's a big $15B deal and I don't remember writing a word on it then because so much other TCJA stuff was happening. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @crtinch Cory Tincher on x
    This is a genuinely terrible idea. Options aren't malicious, they're a two-way agreement that the team member understands the company's stage, believes in their vision, believes they can help achieve that vision and wants a piece of the pie if/when they do. https://twitter.com/..…
  • @rationalwalk @rationalwalk on x
    I don't have much sympathy for executive deferred compensation programs but Sanders is nuts to want to tax stock options upon vesting rather than on exercise. This would force immediate exercise of options when vested to pay tax https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @patrickmchenry Patrick McHenry on x
    Horrible policy that would be harmful to hardworking Americans just like the FTT. We should be helping America's small businesses & startup employees achieve their dreams by closely linking their hard work to ownership not taxing their equity away before they can even get started…
  • @mattocko Matthew Ocko on x
    This all-out attack on 1 of the few *working* systems for “workers to own the means of production” — which napalms the entire startup ecosystem to ding a few greedy F500 CEOs — shows what you're really getting. Not Swedish Social Democracy, but convulsive Hard Socialism of Chavez…
  • @_tessr Tess Rinearson on x
    this... seems like it will lead to more wealth inequality? the only employees who will be able to benefit from their options will be those who already have the money to pay taxes on them https://twitter.com/...
  • @paddycosgrave Paddy Cosgrave on x
    For background: @BernieSanders tax plan for options is likely influenced or even based on the work of @Lazonick Bills work on buybacks, options & exec compensation was perhaps in part popularised by this 2014 @HarvardBiz article https://hbr.org/... Cc @danprimack @paulg https://t…
  • @zck Zak Kukoff on x
    Sanders during last week's debate: employees should own more of businesses Sanders today: proposes a tax plan that discourages equity compensation https://twitter.com/...
  • @chetfaliszek Chet Faliszek on x
    Taxing options would mean low level employees would get burned when a company (most) struggles. It would then be better for employers to not give them which would result in employees then not participating in the success of the company - this consolidates the wealth even more. ht…
  • @reedgalen @reedgalen on x
    How would this plan have worked out for folks @WeWork? https://www.axios.com/...
  • @gordonshumway66 Alf on x
    @jonathanvswan @JackiePressley2 “this legislation would likely result in companies shifting more from stock options to restricted stock units (RSUs), and also changing vesting periods to quarterly or yearly” https://www.axios.com/...
  • @dintersmith Ted Dintersmith on x
    For over twenty years, I've called for higher tax rates on realized capital gains. But this proposal from Bernie Sanders is beyond stupid. It would end entrepreneurship in America. Just clueless to tax phantom income, not real income. https://www.axios.com/...
  • @sundeep Sunny Madra on x
    This is how to get many startups and their employees to work against Bernie ever getting elected.... https://twitter.com/...
  • @rsg Bobby Goodlatte on x
    I voted for Bernie in 2016—but won't be doing so again Tuesday for this reason. Silicon Valley's practice of broad employee equity is one of the strongest manifestations of the American Dream still remaining. Taxing illiquid employee equity would squash social mobility for many h…
  • @adamnash Adam Nash on x
    If your goal was to destroy the Silicon Valley ecosystem of creating new companies, this would be an effective way to do it. Taxing stock options at vest doesn't hurt execs, it would only hurt normal people who can't pay that tax bill with outside wealth. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @cyantist Cyan on x
    If you are in the startup ecosystem and not speaking out against Bernie, you should really see what he's up to regarding stock options. This impacts workers and prevents future wealth of these workers. He wants to tax on *vesting*.
  • @chandrarsrikant Chandra R. Srikanth on x
    Isn't this what Indian startups were complaining about? Looks like Silicon Valley and Bengaluru will have something in common after all! That is, if this plan actually becomes law. https://twitter.com/...