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Strategy Analytics: Apple shipped 30.7M Watches globally in 2019, up 36% YoY, outselling entire Swiss watch industry, which shipped 21.1M units, down 13% YoY

though he chose a much bolder term for “trouble” to express how he thought the watchmaking nation might be in a tough predicament when Apple's watch comes out.” 2019: https://twitter.com/... Kontra / @counternotions : “Time may be running out for Swatch, Tissot, TAG Heuer, and others.” Worldwide sales 2019 Entire Swiss watch industry: 21.1 million, down 13% from 2018 Apple (est): 30.7 million, up 36% from 2018 https://www.macrumors.com/...

The Verge Nick Statt

Context & Ripple Effects

The full-year numbers close a five-year arc that began when smartwatches first outsold Swiss watches for a single quarter in late 2015, and continued with quarterly crossovers like Q4 2017, when Apple alone out-shipped the whole Swiss industry. What changed in this report is scale and duration: Strategy Analytics now puts Apple at 30.7M units for all of 2019, up from the 22.5M it shipped in 2018, against a Swiss industry that fell to 21.1M.

That makes 2019 the first full calendar year in which a single company outsold an entire national watchmaking sector spanning Swatch, Tissot, and TAG Heuer — and the divergence is widening from both ends, with Apple growing 36% while Swiss shipments fell 13%.

First-order effects

  • Swiss brands lose the volume argument outright: with Apple shipping roughly 9.6M more units than the entire Swiss industry, mid-tier names like Tissot and Swatch can no longer claim the wrist by unit share, only by price band.

Second-order effects

  • Swiss watchmakers face a forced strategic split — either add connected features to defend entry-level buyers or retreat further upmarket into mechanical luxury where Apple does not compete — while suppliers of traditional movements and bracelets see their addressable market shrink with every point of Swiss decline.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the wrist consolidates around software platforms rather than watchmakers: the durable asset becomes the installed base and its health/app ecosystem, and 'revenue per active device' replaces units sold as the metric that decides who wins wearables.

The trend: Wrist-worn devices are consolidating around software platforms with large installed bases, leaving traditional watchmakers to compete on heritage and price bands rather than volume.

Discussion

  • @mikeelgan Mike Elgan on x
    Translation: Company that makes product that needs replacement every four years selling more products than country that makes products that last a lifetime. https://news.strategyanalytics.com/ ...
  • @brij Brij Singh on x
    what will happen to all the extra retail space at airports when Swiss watches go out of fashion? https://twitter.com/...
  • @chrislundkvist Christian Lundkvist on x
    Reminder to anyone still beating the “Apple Watch is a failure/disappointing” drum: Apple is the largest watch manufacturer in the world by revenue, shipped 45% more watches than the entire Swiss watch industry combined in 2019. https://twitter.com/...
  • @benbajarin Ben Bajarin on x
    Remember that time, so long ago, when @asymco and I argued so heavily that Apple Watch was a big deal, not a flop, and took so much heat! If only we did a @GlanceConf conference today it would be much more highly attended! https://twitter.com/...
  • @alistairmbarr Alistair Barr on x
    Where did most of Twitter's $1.5B profit come from last year? “Income tax benefit from the establishment of deferred tax assets related to intra-entity transfers of intangible assets of $1.21 billion.” https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @osteslag Joachim Bondo on x
    You seemed skeptical about the positive Apple Watch numbers 4 years ago, and asked how it would look just 3 years later. I replied (to the date), but rather vaguely. Now, a year later, it seems Apple outsells the *entire Swiss watch industry* (by units!) https://www.strategyanaly…
  • @natisho @natisho on x
    2014: Ive “gleefully said Switzerland is in trouble — though he chose a much bolder term for “trouble” to express how he thought the watchmaking nation might be in a tough predicament when Apple's watch comes out.” 2019: https://twitter.com/...
  • @counternotions Kontra on x
    “Time may be running out for Swatch, Tissot, TAG Heuer, and others.” Worldwide sales 2019 Entire Swiss watch industry: 21.1 million, down 13% from 2018 Apple (est): 30.7 million, up 36% from 2018 https://www.macrumors.com/...