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Chronicles

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Sources: US withdrew proposed rules which would have made it harder for US firms to sell to Huawei from overseas facilities, following DOD, Treasury objections

depriving them of money for research and development needed to maintain a technological edge, the people said.” https://www.wsj.com/... Dustin Volz / @dnvolz : Commerce officials have withdrawn proposed regulations making it harder for U.S. companies to sell to Huawei from their overseas facilities after objections from DoD and Treasury, people familiar with the matter said. https://www.wsj.com/... @chorzempamartin : This BIG news will create shockwaves in tech supply chains. If the de minimis threshold is cut or the direct sales rules changed as expected, efforts to “design out” US tech will accelerate. 1/ https://twitter.com/... Jenny Leonard / @jendeben : NEWS: Secretary Ross tells me new rules that would further restrict U.S. sales to Huawei “will come out near-term.” Industry sources call the debated changes to de minimis and direct product rules a belt and suspenders approach to cut off U.S. supplies. https://www.bloomberg.com/... Mark Warner / @maawlaw : “The US gov't is taking a close look at #exportcontrol mechanisms after seeing how @Huawei was able to continue to buy from US companies. Some US companies have kept selling to Huawei by citing rules that limit the US govt's ability to restrict exports.” https://www.bloomberg.com/...

Wall Street Journal Bob Davis

Context & Ripple Effects

This was round one of an interagency fight over closing the offshore loophole in Huawei sales rules: Commerce drafted regulations targeting US firms' overseas facilities, and DoD and Treasury killed the proposal before publication. The reprieve lasted weeks — by mid-February, sources reported DoD had dropped its opposition and the administration moved ahead anyway.

The arc since then validates both sides of the argument Treasury made: controls did eventually tighten to a near-total ban, with Commerce telling companies in early 2023 it had stopped issuing licenses ahead of a total ban. But the delays also gave Huawei time to substitute — teardowns now show a majority of components in its flagship phones made in China.

First-order effects

  • US chipmakers and equipment vendors selling to Huawei through non-US facilities keep that revenue channel open for now, avoiding the R&D-funding hit the draft rules would have imposed.
  • Huawei's existing supply contracts hold, but every supplier now knows the rules were drafted once and can be revived — planning certainty is gone either way.

Second-order effects

  • DoD's reversal within weeks forces suppliers to treat the withdrawal as a pause, not a policy — accelerating the 'design out US tech' effort the drafters feared, as Huawei engineers around components that could be cut off.
  • Treasury's market-impact objection sets a template other agencies under pressure from industry will cite when Commerce proposes the next tightening round.

Third-order effects

  • Interagency veto points become a structural feature of US export control: each proposed rule now runs a predictable cycle of drafting, objection, withdrawal, and revival, which itself pushes targeted firms toward self-sufficiency.
  • The same pattern recurs at scale years later — Commerce withdrawing planned AI-chip export rules in March 2026 (draft pulled after agency feedback) and dropping Chinese-drone restrictions (despite an FCC import bar) — suggesting the withdrawal-and-revive cycle is now how controls get stress-tested.

The trend: US technology export controls are converging on a managed-tightening model where interagency objections delay but rarely kill restrictions, while each delay accelerates Chinese substitution of US components.

Discussion

  • @technology @technology on x
    Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said new rules are coming soon that will put more limits on U.S. companies that supply Huawei https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @bobdavis187 Bob Davis on x
    Proposed rules making it harder for U.S. firms to sell to Huawei from overseas facilities are withdrawn after objections from the Pentagon. Trump admin finding it tough to hit Huawei without hurting US firms too. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @danwwang Dan Wang on x
    DC is now a confusing world in which the Department of Commerce is keen to cut off the sales of US companies, while the Pentagon is trying to protect the ability of technology leaders (i.e. chips and aviation companies) to make revenue to fund the next round of R&D. https://twitt…
  • @jorge_guajardo Jorge Guajardo on x
    “The Pentagon is concerned that if U.S. companies can't continue to ship to Huawei, they will lose a key source of revenue—depriving them of money for research and development needed to maintain a technological edge, the people said.” https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @dnvolz Dustin Volz on x
    Commerce officials have withdrawn proposed regulations making it harder for U.S. companies to sell to Huawei from their overseas facilities after objections from DoD and Treasury, people familiar with the matter said. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @chorzempamartin @chorzempamartin on x
    This BIG news will create shockwaves in tech supply chains. If the de minimis threshold is cut or the direct sales rules changed as expected, efforts to “design out” US tech will accelerate. 1/ https://twitter.com/...
  • @jendeben Jenny Leonard on x
    NEWS: Secretary Ross tells me new rules that would further restrict U.S. sales to Huawei “will come out near-term.” Industry sources call the debated changes to de minimis and direct product rules a belt and suspenders approach to cut off U.S. supplies. https://www.bloomberg.com/…
  • @maawlaw Mark Warner on x
    “The US gov't is taking a close look at #exportcontrol mechanisms after seeing how @Huawei was able to continue to buy from US companies. Some US companies have kept selling to Huawei by citing rules that limit the US govt's ability to restrict exports.” https://www.bloomberg.com…