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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Mastercard SpendingPulse: US online holiday sales from Nov. 1 through Dec. 24 grew 18.8% YoY, for a 14.6% share of the total retail sales during the period

(Reuters) - U.S. shoppers spent more online during this year's holiday shopping season, a report by Mastercard Inc (MA.N) …

Reuters

Context & Ripple Effects

The corpus frames this as one checkpoint in a steadily steepening curve. Two years earlier, Adobe's 2017 holiday tally put US online sales growth at 11%; Mastercard's SpendingPulse now reads 18.8% growth and a 14.6% share of total retail for Nov. 1–Dec. 24, 2019.

The next data point confirms the trajectory rather than breaking it: the following year's SpendingPulse shows online holiday sales up 49%, with the share jumping to 19.7% from about 13.4% in 2019. The 2019 print is the last pre-inflection baseline, which is what makes its precise share figure useful.

First-order effects

  • US retailers' e-commerce operations captured 14.6% of all holiday-season retail spend in the Nov. 1–Dec. 24 window, growing nearly twice as fast as the overall market Mastercard measured.
  • Mastercard's SpendingPulse solidified its role as the season's benchmark, with Adobe's competing holiday reports establishing measurement itself as a recurring product for payments and analytics firms.

Second-order effects

  • Brick-and-mortar-first retailers face a widening gap: with online growing at 18.8% against a much slower total, their physical footprint absorbs a shrinking slice of each holiday season.
  • Fulfillment, shipping, and digital-advertising suppliers see concentrated seasonal demand spikes as the online share climbs, since each point of shifted share moves volume into parcel networks rather than store trips.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds — 14.6% share in 2019 rising to 19.7% a year later per the corpus — holiday retail consolidates around omnichannel operators with scaled e-commerce infrastructure, pressuring single-channel players.
  • Card-network and analytics firms' seasonal reports harden into the industry's de facto scoreboard, shaping investor and retailer expectations around a handful of private datasets rather than official statistics.

The trend: US holiday retail is migrating online at an accelerating clip, with card-network and analytics firms' measurement reports becoming the annual scoreboard for that shift.

Discussion

  • @hadip Hadi Partovi on x
    After a record season, online holiday shopping is still less than 15% of the US total. So much room to grow for e-commerce players such a $AMZN and $EBAY. https://www.reuters.com/...
  • @reuters @reuters on x
    E-commerce sales this year made up 14.6% of total retail sales and rose 18.8% from the 2018 period, according to a report from Mastercard https://www.reuters.com/... https://twitter.com/...