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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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China launches two more satellites for BeiDou, its GPS competitor, says it will be fully complete in June, with centimeters-level accuracy by the end of 2020

70% of Chinese smartphones now compatible with Beidou  —  BEIJING — China announced Friday that it is just months away …

Nikkei Asian Review Shunsuke Tabeta

Context & Ripple Effects

This launch extends an arc that began when China announced BeiDou's global rollout a year ahead of schedule, with the system then delivering 5m accuracy in Asia-Pacific and 10m elsewhere. A year later, two more satellites put full constellation completion on track for June, with centimeters-level accuracy targeted by the end of 2020.

The adoption side is already moving: 70% of Chinese smartphones are now BeiDou-compatible, meaning the accuracy upgrade lands on hardware that largely exists today rather than waiting for a new device cycle.

First-order effects

  • Chinese smartphone users gain a domestically controlled navigation layer at near-completion status, reducing dependence on the US-government-owned GPS for positioning inside China.
  • Device makers selling into China face a de facto dual-constellation requirement, since seven in ten handsets there already support BeiDou.

Second-order effects

  • Countries and equipment vendors outside China gain a second sovereign positioning option alongside GPS, giving buyers leverage in procurement and forcing GPS-based services to compete on capability rather than default status.
  • Centimeters-level accuracy, if delivered on schedule, opens BeiDou to precision applications — surveying, agriculture, autonomous machinery — where meter-level GPS was previously the constraint.

Third-order effects

  • Satellite navigation is structurally splitting into parallel US and Chinese constellations, with chipset support becoming the battleground over which system becomes the default in third markets.
  • Completion of the constellation would mark the first time GPS faces a fully deployed global rival, raising the likelihood that navigation infrastructure joins the list of technologies where states demand domestic alternatives.

The trend: Global satellite navigation is bifurcating into competing US and Chinese constellations, with China's launch cadence compressing the timeline on which device makers and third-country buyers must support both.