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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Canaan, the China-based maker of Bitcoin mining machines, prices its US IPO at the bottom of the range at $9 per share, raising $90M

Canaan Inc., a maker of Bitcoin mining machines, raised $90 million after pricing its U.S. initial public offering at the bottom of its marketed range.

Bloomberg Crystal Tse

Context & Ripple Effects

Canaan's $90 million raise ends a two-year listing saga that started much bigger: the company filed for a Hong Kong IPO in May 2018 targeting roughly $1 billion, then let that application lapse the following November rather than go public at a lower valuation.

The bottom-of-range $9 pricing lands while the whole mining-hardware cohort waits on the market — Bitmain, which raised $422 million privately and showed $2.8 billion of revenue in its draft filing, has its own Hong Kong application still unresolved. Canaan's print is the first hard public-market read on what these companies are actually worth.

First-order effects

  • Canaan walks away with $90 million against an original ambition of at least $400 million in Hong Kong — a fraction of the war chest it planned for, and a valuation set by buyers, not by management.
  • Bitmain's pending Hong Kong filing now has a priced comparable beneath it, weakening its negotiating position with exchange regulators and investors.

Second-order effects

  • Any other miner-maker weighing an IPO must price against Canaan's bottom-of-range outcome, pushing candidates toward the U.S. market where crypto listings have proven possible rather than back to Hong Kong.
  • Private investors who marked mining-hardware names up through rounds like Bitmain's face a public benchmark that implies those marks were too high.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, Chinese crypto-hardware companies consolidate around U.S. listings as the fallback venue when Asian windows close, decoupling their investor base from their manufacturing base.
  • Public markets effectively reprice mining equipment as a cyclical commodity business tied to bitcoin's price, ending the premium these firms commanded during the 2017-18 private funding boom.

The trend: Bitcoin mining hardware makers are trading billion-dollar Hong Kong ambitions for discounted U.S. listings as crypto capital markets shrink.