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Chronicles

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Zero-day exploit broker Zerodium increases the price of a “zero-click” exploit chain for Android to $2.5M, eclipsing iOS' top prize for the first time

Catalin Cimpanu / ZDNet :

ZDNet Catalin Cimpanu

Context & Ripple Effects

Zerodium has been publishing a public price list since 2015, when cracking an Android phone fetched just $100K against $500K for iOS (its original hack price list). In 2016 it widened the gap by tripling the iOS bounty to $1.5M while doubling Android's to only $200K (the 2016 bounty reset).

The new $2.5M top prize for an Android zero-click chain inverts that hierarchy for the first time. It lands weeks after Google Project Zero published demo code for five of six 'interactionless' iOS bugs (the interactionless iOS disclosures), a reminder of how quickly brokered prices track which platforms are actually being attacked.

First-order effects

  • Researchers holding working Android zero-click chains can now command more from Zerodium than from any iOS submission, redirecting elite exploit supply toward Android.
  • Government and corporate buyers sourcing through Zerodium effectively signal that Android intrusion capability is what they currently cannot get elsewhere.

Second-order effects

  • Google faces a pricier black-market target on its platform, raising the stakes for its own vulnerability rewards and patch cadence relative to Apple's.
  • Apple gains a reputational data point: as long as its top prize stays below Android's, Zerodium's list doubles as marketing for iOS hardening.

Third-order effects

  • If broker price lists keep functioning as a live index of platform attack difficulty, mobile OS vendors will be benchmarked publicly on exploit economics, not just patch counts — with pricing pressure shifting toward whichever ecosystem attackers find softer.

The trend: Exploit brokers' published bounties are becoming a real-time market index of which mobile platforms are hardest — or easiest — to break.

Discussion

  • @wired @wired on x
    For years, the iPhone was considered the most locked-down mainstream computing device in the world. But Google's Android security is improving - and for the first time, the hacks to break into it cost more as well. https://www.wired.com/...
  • @a_greenberg Andy Greenberg on x
    Zerodium isn't the only zero day broker pricing Android 0days above iOS. Maor Shwartz, who spoke about his 0day brokering experiences at Black Hat last month, says iOS full-chain exploits sell for around $1.5M (non-exclusive) compared to $2M+ for Android. https://www.wired.com/..…
  • @josephfcox Joseph Cox on x
    Two zero-day brokers say there are more iPhone exploits on the market at the moment https://www.vice.com/... Caveats: - brokers only slice of market - some attacks much less valuable for exploitation than others - may be lots of RCE around, but not necessarily what's needed
  • @campuscodi Catalin Cimpanu on x
    Exploit broker Zerodium increases zero-day prices for Android exploits, which are now worth more than iOS for the first time -Android 0-click exploit with persistence=$2.5m -similar iOS exploit worth $2m -Zerodium: it's “in accordance with market trends” https://www.zdnet.com/...…