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Chronicles

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Overview of startup exits outside Silicon Valley from the past ten years, not including Asian companies: Sweden edges out UK, Boston remains big, more

There's never been a better time to build a company outside the Bay Area  —  The Bay Area has been the best place to build a startup for the last two decades. Tweets: @niklas_a and @stevecase Tweets: Niklas Agevik / @niklas_a : Sweden's startup exits are pretty epic. Biggest in Europe and larger then Germany, Finland and France COMBINED! https://medium.com/... Steve Case / @stevecase : Startup Success Outside Silicon Valley: Data from Over 200 Exits in 17 Cities https://medium.com/... “There's never been a better time to build a company outside the Bay Area” #RiseOfRest https://twitter.com/...

Founder Collective David Frankel

Context & Ripple Effects

Founder Collective's dataset of over 200 exits across 17 cities puts numbers behind Steve Case's #RiseOfRest thesis that there has never been a better time to build outside the Bay Area. The headline finding — Sweden's exit machine, already visible in Spotify's $27B IPO and iZettle's sale, now edges out the UK across a full decade — reframes which secondary hubs actually produce liquidity events rather than just funding rounds.

The timing matters because the follow-on coverage cuts both ways: the UK's unicorn count grew 10x in the same decade even as it lost the exits race, and later data showed 96.9% of Bay Area startups still stayed put in 2020. Exits are dispersing faster than company formation, which is exactly the gap this analysis exposes.

First-order effects

  • Swedish founders and local investors gain the strongest decade-long track record in Europe — larger than Germany, Finland and France combined — strengthening their pitch to international capital.
  • Boston's continued presence among top exit cities validates it as the standout US hub outside the Bay Area, giving its founders and universities a measurable counter-narrative.

Second-order effects

  • US venture funds face pressure to allocate abroad: Atomico's projection of a record $34.3B for European startups in 2019, with roughly $10B coming from US-based VCs, follows directly from exit evidence like this.
  • The UK's second-place finish sharpens the Brexit question — its funding boom could stall if the exit pipeline that attracted that capital doesn't keep pace.

Third-order effects

  • If exit counts become the standard scorecard for regional ecosystems, city governments and investors will compete on producing liquidity events rather than headline funding rounds, reshaping how 'next hub' debates are settled.
  • A durable split emerges: talent and company formation remain concentrated in the Bay Area while exits and late-stage value creation disperse — meaning ecosystem rankings built on either metric alone will diverge.

The trend: Startup success is being re-measured by where exits happen rather than where companies start, as capital and liquidity events disperse from the Bay Area to hubs like Stockholm, London and Boston.

Discussion

  • @niklas_a Niklas Agevik on x
    Sweden's startup exits are pretty epic. Biggest in Europe and larger then Germany, Finland and France COMBINED! https://medium.com/...
  • @stevecase Steve Case on x
    Startup Success Outside Silicon Valley: Data from Over 200 Exits in 17 Cities https://medium.com/... “There's never been a better time to build a company outside the Bay Area” #RiseOfRest https://twitter.com/...