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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at Iran's efforts to tighten internet controls and curtail digital freedoms, as US sanctions and cyberattacks against the country escalate

Mahsa Alimardani / VICE : Tweets: @nargesbajoghli , @yarbatman , and @jabdi Tweets: Narges Bajoghli / @nargesbajoghli : It's hard to overstate degree to which Stuxnet cyberattacks by US+Israel on Iran in 2009 have had on furthering efforts to securitize internet+build capacity for Iran cyber army. Important article by @maasalan. Great film on Stuxnet to watch is “Zero Days” by Alex Gibney. https://twitter.com/... Esfandyar Batmanghelidj / @yarbatman : An important warning from @maasalan. US sanctions pressures and anxiety about cyberattacks are granting Iran's national security establishment “greater legitimacy for its efforts to tighten and centralize its controls over the internet in the country.” https://www.vice.com/... Jamal Abdi / @jabdi : More examples of US govt “pressure” on Iran actually providing cover for Iranian govt to repress and isolate the people. Threat of US cyber attacks give excuse to crack down on internet access, all while US sanctions help disconnect Iranians from basic software and services. https://twitter.com/...

VICE Mahsa Alimardani

Context & Ripple Effects

This piece is the early framing of an arc the later coverage keeps confirming: the 2009 Stuxnet attacks gave Iran's security establishment its founding justification, and every escalation since has tightened the loop. By 2022 the Iran-Israel cyberwar had gone public and open, disrupting infrastructure and civilian life in both countries.

What followed is a two-sided squeeze documented across the corpus: externally, sanctions disconnect ordinary Iranians from basic software and services; internally, researchers traced how Iran's network-integrated surveillance apparatus was used to hunt down protesters, while the state's cyber army pivoted to spear-phishing its own citizens during unrest.

First-order effects

  • Iranian citizens lose direct access to basic software and services as US sanctions bite, while the government simultaneously cracks down on internet access — both pressures landing on the same users at once.
  • Cyberattack threats hand Iran's national security establishment fresh legitimacy to centralize internet controls it was already building toward.

Second-order effects

  • Users are pushed into circumvention: by the time of Iran's full-scale blackout, connectivity fell to roughly 1% of ordinary levels and Iranians leaned on Starlink, decentralized messaging apps, and VPNs to stay connected.
  • The same cyber army built for external defense gets redirected inward — spear-phishing campaigns aimed at sowing distrust among Iranians as unrest grows.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, external cyber pressure and sanctions keep functioning as domestic political cover, structurally rewarding the very centralization of control they nominally punish — a feedback loop where each attack justifies a more closed network.
  • The Iran-Israel cyberwar sets a precedent where critical infrastructure and civilian services become routine targets on both sides, blurring the line between state conflict and civilian harm.

The trend: External cyber pressure and sanctions are accelerating a global shift toward securitized, sovereign national networks in which connectivity itself becomes an instrument of state control.