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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Iran's professional currency traders seeking profit are increasingly using Telegram to spread misinformation about the Iranian rial, accelerating its crash

and make a profit for themselves. http://foreignpolicy.com/... #Iran @foreignpolicy : Iran's professional money traders are using a messaging app to exploit the black market's lack of transparency. http://foreignpolicy.com/...

Foreign Policy Rohollah Faghihi

Context & Ripple Effects

Telegram is not a marginal app in Iran — with roughly 40 million users there, it is effectively the national public square, and Tehran has already fought it once: after Telegram suspended protest-inciting channels under its terms of service, the government's own attempt to block the app pushed millions toward censorship-circumvention tools rather than off it.

The new development is that the same infrastructure is now a trading floor. Professional currency traders are using Telegram channels to plant false information about the rial, exploiting the opacity of the black market to move the rate and pocket the difference — turning a communications platform into an instrument of currency attack.

First-order effects

  • Ordinary Iranians holding rials absorb the losses as trader-planted misinformation accelerates the currency's slide, while the traders themselves capture the spread created by the panic they seeded.

Second-order effects

  • Tehran faces a repeat of its January dilemma: another ban would fail as before and push users further underground, so pressure lands on Telegram itself to moderate financially destabilizing channels just as it did with the protest ones.
  • The episode accelerates Iranians' flight into alternative stores of value — a path already visible years later when sanctions and inflation drove users to tap-to-earn crypto mini apps inside Telegram, keeping the platform at the center of the country's informal finance even as the rial erodes.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, messaging platforms in sanctioned economies harden into unregulated financial marketplaces where information is itself the tradable asset — forcing states to choose between bans that don't stick and moderation regimes they don't control, while informal capital migrates toward crypto rails that sit outside the rial entirely.

The trend: In sanctions-hit economies, messaging apps are becoming de facto exchanges where disinformation functions as a trading strategy and crypto absorbs the capital that flees the collapsing local currency.