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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Wall Street is now selling more data like social media sentiment and geospatial mapping, and less analysis as only ~21% of research emails are opened

Research units take different tack to refine information for clients; geospatial mapping for mall trips and Googling interest in ‘Luke Cage’ Tweets: @briantimoney and @charlesraaii Tweets: Brian Timoney / @briantimoney : Wall Street discovers the wonder of the drive-time polygons to replace their radius-buffers to say profound things about mall preferences. Wait till they hear about Amazon Prime. http://www.wsj.com/... http://twitter.com/... Charles Rotblut / @charlesraaii : More proof that individual investors have lost the technology battle. Your trading app can't do this. https://www.wsj.com/... via @WSJ

Wall Street Journal Telis Demos

Context & Ripple Effects

This 2018 report sits mid-arc in Wall Street's long renegotiation with data. Two years earlier, banks were fighting fintechs like Mint and Betterment over who pays for access to customer financial data — the industry already treating information as a priced asset rather than a free byproduct. What changed here is the product itself: with only ~21% of research emails opened, sell-side shops stopped leading with analyst prose and started packaging feeds — drive-time polygons around malls, 'Luke Cage' tweet volume — as the deliverable.

The pivot proved durable rather than episodic. Within a year, satellite data startups like Orbital Insight and SpaceKnow were institutionalizing the same model for hedge funds, selling imagery-derived signals instead of reports. By 2021, after GameStop, institutions had come full circle — hiring teams to scrape Reddit, Twitter, and Discord for the very retail chatter this article first monetized.

First-order effects

  • Buy-side clients receive raw or lightly refined data products — geospatial trip counts, social sentiment scores — in place of analyst write-ups, whose ~21% open rate has made the traditional email deliverable commercially dead weight.
  • Analysts' value proposition shifts from judgment to curation: their firms now compete on the freshness and exclusivity of licensed signals, exemplified by the drive-time polygon work Brian Timoney flagged replacing crude radius-buffers.

Second-order effects

  • Alternative-data suppliers gain a direct sales channel into banks and hedge funds, turning satellite operators and social-data vendors into upstream vendors whose pricing power grows as the sell-side becomes a reseller of their feeds.
  • Charles Rotblut's observation that retail trading apps can't replicate these datasets points to a widening tooling gap: individual investors are structurally locked out of the same information their own social activity generates.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, sell-side research consolidates around platform economics — whoever aggregates and licenses the widest signal set wins — echoing how the same institutions later built desks to monitor retail forums directly, closing the loop between the data sellers and its sources.
  • The structural endpoint is a two-tier market: institutions trade on proprietary feeds while retail investors act on public sentiment, a split that regulators and platform operators become the de facto arbiters of.

The trend: Sell-side research is recomposing from analyst judgment into licensed data products, with competitive edge defined by signal latency and exclusivity rather than written analysis.