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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Tencent says it has received approval from Hong Kong stock exchange for an IPO of its Tencent Music Entertainment subsidiary in US

Chinese media giant Tencent has confirmed that Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) is set to be spun-off via a public listing in the United States.

Music Business Worldwide

Context & Ripple Effects

Tencent's Hong Kong exchange approval was the regulatory gate on a listing arc that had been building since late 2017, when Tencent Music first mapped out a 2018 IPO at a ~$10B valuation. Private-market deals then ran the price up fast — by April 2018, recent private transactions valued the company at $25B+, double the late-2017 mark.

What followed shows the gap between those marks and public demand: after a confidential filing targeting a $2B raise, the deal was cut to a $13–$15 per share range aiming for $1.15B, and it ultimately priced at the bottom of that range, raising ~$1.1B at a $21.3B valuation — below the private-market peak.

First-order effects

  • Tencent Music gains a standalone US listing and its own currency for acquisitions and talent deals, while Tencent converts part of its music stake into traded stock without giving up control of the subsidiary.
  • Investors who bought in at the $25B+ private valuations are marked down to a $21.3B public price, an immediate paper loss set on day one.

Second-order effects

  • Pricing at the bottom of the range forces every later Chinese consumer-tech issuer into the same negotiation with US investors: private-round marks no longer anchor the price, and bankers' ranges become the ceiling rather than the floor.
  • A listed Tencent Music becomes a comparable for rival streaming platforms and for Tencent's other entertainment assets, pressuring the group to justify conglomerate discounts across its portfolio.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds — private valuations doubling inside a year, then public markets pricing below them — the structural lesson is that Chinese tech spin-offs clear US listings only by accepting a haircut to their last private round, resetting how founders time exits.
  • The dual-track structure (Hong Kong approval, US listing) points toward Chinese internet groups treating offshore exchanges as interchangeable venues, choosing whichever market will bear the valuation at filing time.

The trend: Chinese tech giants are spinning off entertainment subsidiaries into US public markets faster than private-market valuations can survive contact with public pricing.