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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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James Murdoch says ~50% of Hulu's 20M subscribers opt for the $11.99/month ad-free plan, instead of the $7.99/month plan with commercials

But does he think Facebook could one day offer an ads-free version?  Maybe not.  —  Hulu has three principal owners at the moment, including 21st Century Fox

Recode Edmund Lee

Context & Ripple Effects

Hulu first tested this split back in 2015, when reports surfaced of an ad-free option priced around $12-$14, before the service launched its commercial-free tier at $12 a month that September. Three years on, James Murdoch — whose 21st Century Fox is one of Hulu's three principal owners — puts a number on how the experiment landed: roughly half of Hulu's 20 million subscribers pay the $11.99 ad-free rate rather than $7.99 with commercials.

First-order effects

  • About 10 million of Hulu's 20 million subscribers are paying a $4-per-month premium for ad-free viewing, giving Hulu a large guaranteed-subscription revenue base while removing those viewers from advertiser reach.

Second-order effects

Third-order effects

The trend: Streaming services are flipping from ad-free subscriptions as the premium default to ad-supported tiers as the volume-and-profit engine, with ad-free repositioned as an upsell.