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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Number of crypto hedge funds doubled to 226 in the last 4 months and is up from 37 at the start of 2017; assets under management reached between $3.5B and $5B

Maiya Keidan, Jemima Kelly  —  LONDON (Reuters) - Hedge funds focused on trading cryptocurrencies have struggled to eke out returns …

Reuters Maiya Keidan

Context & Ripple Effects

The February 2018 snapshot captures a launch wave running ahead of its own economics: the fund count went from 37 at the start of 2017 to 226 in four months, yet Reuters reports these vehicles were already struggling to eke out returns on $3.5B-$5B in assets. The related coverage shows what came next — within weeks of this report, at least nine of those funds had shut as Bitcoin's roughly 50% drop this year forced a cull of the 150+ vehicles opened during the 2017 price run-up.

The survivors' response is visible in the later coverage: Polychain's $175M raise with a seven-year lockup marked the moment crypto funds began resembling VC funds more than hedge funds, trading liquidity for runway after a brutal year. That adaptation path — and the eventual absorption of crypto into traditional hedge fund books, where 47% now hold crypto positions per the 2024 adoption data — is the arc this doubling kicked off.

First-order effects

  • Investors allocating into the 226 funds are buying into a crowded trade at peak formation: with returns already thin and AUM of only $3.5B-$5B spread across hundreds of vehicles, most funds lack the scale or edge to justify fees.
  • The newest entrants — the bulk of the doubling happened in just four months — face immediate redemption and closure risk if prices fall, since their strategies depend on directional crypto beta rather than demonstrated skill.

Second-order effects

  • A shakeout compresses the field toward two viable models: closure for pure beta funds, as seen when at least nine shut after the 2018 drop, and structural reinvention for the rest — Polychain's seven-year lockup being the template for converting hedge fund vehicles into illiquid, VC-style vehicles.
  • Prime brokers, administrators, and auditors serving crypto funds see demand consolidate around fewer, larger survivors, raising service costs for small funds and accelerating exits.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds across cycles, standalone crypto hedge funds remain structurally fragile — the 2022 FTX episode showed 25%-40% of specialized funds carried counterparty exposure totaling around $2B — while crypto exposure migrates into diversified traditional hedge funds, which by 2024 held it at 47% penetration.
  • Performance measurement matures alongside: indices like the VisionTrack Composite tracking 130 dedicated funds become the benchmark against which specialists must justify existing separately from simply holding Bitcoin, which outperformed them 120% to 40% in 2024.

The trend: Crypto trading is migrating from a boom-bust cycle of standalone specialist funds toward a durable allocation inside traditional hedge fund portfolios, with each drawdown culling beta-driven vehicles and pushing survivors toward longer-lockup, venture-style structures.