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Google says Assistant is available on 400M+ devices, while it sold more than one Home every second since Home Mini Oct. launch, which translates to 6M+ speakers

Google Assistant is now available on 400 million devices, including more than 6 million Home smart speakers sold since the Home Mini first became available last October.

VentureBeat Khari Johnson

Context & Ripple Effects

At CES a year after launching its speaker line, Google is quantifying how fast Assistant spread beyond phones: 400 million devices, plus more than one Home sold every second since the Home Mini went on sale in October, adding up to over 6 million units. That volume matters because independent tracking already showed Google out-shipping Amazon in smart speakers.

The trajectory held through the year: the Home Mini took the top spot in Q2 with 20% of global smart-speaker shipments, and by mid-2018 Google reported Assistant on 500 million devices before projecting a billion by January 2019. The 400-million figure is the baseline that growth curve started from.

First-order effects

  • Google enters 2018 with a credible claim that Assistant matches or beats Alexa on installed reach, strengthening its pitch at CES to hardware makers deciding which voice platform to embed.
  • The Home Mini's sub-$50 price point is doing the volume work: more than 6 million speakers in roughly three months turns Assistant from a phone feature into a living-room presence.

Second-order effects

  • Third-party manufacturers like Anker, Mobvoi, and Panasonic building Assistant speakers, plus LG embedding it in appliances, gain a larger addressable base as Google's install count grows — and Amazon faces pressure to counter with its own partner roster.
  • Smart-home accessory makers get pulled into the ecosystem war: with Google's footprint expanding alongside Alexa's, supporting both assistants shifts from differentiator to table stakes.

Third-order effects

  • Voice assistants are consolidating into an operating layer across phones, speakers, TVs, and appliances, with Google and Amazon competing to be the default interface rather than individual device vendors.
  • If the device-count race continues at the pace shown between this announcement and the billion-device projection, assistant selection will increasingly be decided at the manufacturing stage, not the consumer's purchase of any single product.

The trend: Voice assistants are racing from single products toward platform-scale distribution, with Google using cheap speakers and OEM partnerships to close the installed-base gap with Alexa.

Discussion

  • @stevesi @stevesi on x
    Google sold over 6 million smart speakers in 2017 http://venturebeat.com/... // aside from longer term utility the big question is if anyone is making (incremental) profit in some part of their ecosystem as a result of speakers that defrays (significant) demand gen/cost of sale?
  • @jasonfalter @jasonfalter on x
    Like everything else (numbers-wise) that Google releases... this sounds highly fudged and embellished. Then again, their G+ “Your Influence” numbers are fake, their ad and site views are fake, so why not sales numbers? http://twitter.com/...
  • @peard33 Paresh Dave on x
    Google basically says it sold 6.7 million Home Mini's over the holidays http://www.blog.google/... This discounting helped http://www.reuters.com/...