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Chronicles

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Sources: OpenAI has held preliminary discussions with investors about raising tens of billions of dollars, and as much as $100B, at a valuation of around $750B

OpenAI has held preliminary discussions with some investors about raising new funding at a valuation of around $750 billion …

The Information

Context & Ripple Effects

OpenAI’s financing ambitions have escalated from a possible $80B–$90B share-sale valuation in 2023 to early discussions around a $100B-plus valuation and chip-venture funding. The reported $750B valuation target makes that progression consequential, not merely another startup round.

The discussions also sit alongside reporting that OpenAI had explored a $60B-plus private raise ahead of a possible IPO, suggesting private capital is being used to support a far larger financing path before any public-market listing.

First-order effects

  • OpenAI can test investor appetite for a financing round measured in tens of billions of dollars, with a reported ceiling of $100B and a roughly $750B valuation target.
  • Prospective investors face a decision on whether to commit capital at a valuation that would make the round unusually consequential for a private AI company.

Second-order effects

  • A successful raise at this scale would reset the fundraising benchmark for other frontier AI developers, increasing pressure to show comparable access to capital or more capital-efficient operating models.
  • The round would further pull large investors toward AI-infrastructure and compute-linked financing, while concentrating bargaining power among the small set of investors able to write such checks.

Third-order effects

  • If repeated, megafundraising could make frontier-model development increasingly dependent on capital-market capacity rather than conventional venture funding, reinforcing a more concentrated lab market.
  • The gap between private-round valuations and eventual public-market pricing may become a central constraint: OpenAI’s reported IPO exploration makes later liquidity and valuation validation especially important.

The trend: Frontier AI is moving toward infrastructure-scale finance, where access to exceptionally large pools of private capital can shape which labs can compete.

Discussion

  • @firstadopter Tae Kim on x
    Public markets are crushing OpenAI-exposed stocks, while private investors with visibility into OpenAI's metrics and internal numbers ... Both can't be right. I trust @Katie_Roof reporting
  • @jimcramer Jim Cramer on x
    Quizzical article in the most authoritative source, “The Information” about how OpenAi can raised billions at $750b valuation even as the deals it is doing are struck at a $500b valuation
  • @stwboerse Stefan Waldhauser on x
    🤡 The show must go on: OpenAI is discussing the possibility of raising tens of billions at a valuation of around $750 billion. I can't wait to find out who these investors are! Clearly blinded by the triple-digit sales growth, they are not asking for a functioning business
  • @logicalthesis @logicalthesis on x
    OpenAI raising $100B is bearish. Why? Bc 1) they basically confirmed they cannot afford the astronomical cost of the build out through sustainable business 2) It will suck up $100B that could have otherwise gone to public equities in the AI space, which is desperately needed here
  • @hypertechinvest Daniel Romero on x
    OpenAI is reportedly in talks to raise up to $100B at a $750B valuation, according to The Information If true, this would be a major derisking event for $AMD, $NVDA, $NBIS, $AVGO, $ORCL, and many others with direct or indirect exposure to OpenA [image]
  • @jimcramer Jim Cramer on x
    Here's the logic of “saving” AI. You strike all OpenAI private deals at $500b. Then you gaffe the “public” at $750b and everyone is happy. If they can pull this off in light of the surge of Gemini, then everybody gets whole, EVEN Oracle!!!!
  • @kimmonismus @kimmonismus on x
    OpenAI: now vauled at $750b OpenAI is reportedly in early talks to raise tens of billions (possibly up to $100B) at a ~$750B valuation, as its annualized revenue recently hit ~$19B. Lets see if they hit $1.5t before their IPO [image]
  • @ralph_grabowski Ralph Grabowski on x
    Big-looking numbers! But works out to only 0.7 enquiries per student per day. “@OpenAI has sold 700K+ ChatGPT licenses to ~35 US public universities for students and faculty, who used it 14M+ times in September, beating Copilot.” - @Bloomberg
  • @edzitron.com Ed Zitron on bluesky
    Wait what?  The “already raised $60bn”?  What're you on about?  Tens of billions?  $100 billion? [embedded post]