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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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SoftBank sold its entire Nvidia stake, or ~32M shares, in October for $5.8B and part of its T-Mobile stake for $9.2B, boosting Q2 profit to $16.2B, above est.

Net profit doubles to $16bn on gains from OpenAI and PayPay holdings  —  Masayoshi Son's SoftBank Group has sold its entire stake …

Financial Times David Keohane

Context & Ripple Effects

SoftBank had recently credited Nvidia with helping lift quarterly earnings, while an earlier Vision Fund exit from the chipmaker shows the holding has been monetized before. The latest move turns a major quoted position into realized proceeds and follows a prior T-Mobile share windfall that had already helped restore group profitability.

The results also underscore how SoftBank's reported earnings remain shaped by changes in, and sales of, a concentrated set of portfolio holdings rather than solely by operating businesses.

First-order effects

  • SoftBank exits its Nvidia position and reduces its T-Mobile holding, replacing those equity exposures with proceeds while booking a quarter of sharply higher profit.
  • The group loses future direct participation in Nvidia share-price movements; its near-term results instead reflect realized gains alongside valuation gains in OpenAI and PayPay.

Second-order effects

  • Investors assessing SoftBank will have to place less weight on Nvidia as a source of future upside and more weight on the remaining private and public portfolio, including OpenAI and PayPay.
  • The sale follows Nvidia's contribution to SoftBank's prior-quarter profit, making the shift especially visible in the comparison between mark-to-market investment gains and realized asset sales.

Third-order effects

  • If repeated, such large exits would reinforce SoftBank's role as an active portfolio allocator whose earnings and capital base can change materially with monetization timing.
  • The pattern points to continued concentration risk: gains from a small number of technology and telecom holdings can drive results, but reduced positions also narrow the set of assets that can do so in subsequent periods.

The trend: SoftBank is increasingly converting gains in high-value portfolio stakes into liquidity while its earnings remain tied to a concentrated set of technology investments.

Discussion

  • @pkafka Peter Kafka on x
    You probably can't sell your Nvidia shares and put the proceeds into OpenAI. But that's what SoftBank just did. A very 2025 kind of trade. New from me: https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...
  • @pitdesi Sheel Mohnot on x
    Last time SoftBank sold Nvidia was in 2019... they owned 4.9% of the company and sold it for $5.8B. If they had held on, it would be worth $232B, would have been by far the most profitable trade SoftBank had ever made.
  • @ross__hendricks Ross Hendricks on x
    SoftBank after receiving news of Burry's massive $NVDA put buys [image]
  • @matthiasellis Matthew Ellis on x
    well uh lol
  • @twofifteenam @twofifteenam on x
    Here we go again [image]
  • @pelstrom Peter Elstrom on x
    SoftBank is spooking investors today with the sale of its entire stake in Nvidia for about $6 billion. So is Son getting worried about the AI boom? That's not what's happening. The company needs more cash so it can make its own ambitious AI investments. https://www.bloomberg.com/…
  • @edzitron.com Ed Zitron on bluesky
    Is that good [embedded post]
  • @cstross Charlie Stross on bluesky
    OOPS: turns out Softbank has firm commitments in Q4 to pour $30.5Bn down the AI rathole, and basically needed the Nvidia money to buy shares in a magic bean startup:  —  https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/11/ softbank-sells-its-entire-stake-in- nvidia-for-5point83-billion.html
  • r/StockMarket r on reddit
    SoftBank sells its entire stake in Nvidia for $5.83 billion
  • r/nvidia r on reddit
    SoftBank sells its entire stake in Nvidia for $5.83 billion
  • r/singaporefi r on reddit
    SoftBank sells its entire stake in Nvidia for $5.83 billion
  • r/business r on reddit
    SoftBank sells its entire stake in Nvidia for $5.83 billion
  • r/Economics r on reddit
    SoftBank sells its entire stake in Nvidia for $5.83 billion
  • r/technology r on reddit
    SoftBank sells its entire stake in Nvidia for $5.83 billion