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TEXXR

Chronicles

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Leaked a16z decks: $25B in net returns since its 2009 founding, including $11.2B in 2021, and 56 unicorn investments in the past 10 years, the most of any firm

The firm has held its $900 million 2012 Fund III at 9.4x net TVPI.  —  ∙ Paid  —  Andreessen Horowitz is perhaps … X: @iamhenrymascot , @doodcapital , @iamjakestream , @ctjlewis , @dennythedev , @amendandpretend , @gthartley , @daveg , @brentfranson , @oladayo_adenubi , @danielmerja , @luke_metro , @brandon_m_kumar , @equityindallas , @wholemarsblog , and @____nanakong X: Henry Mascot / @iamhenrymascot : 2021 exits: Coinbase (IPO, ~$6B stake value), Roblox (IPO), Affirm (IPO), UiPath (IPO), DigitalOcean (IPO), Stack Overflow (acquired for $1.8B). @doodcapital : Holy bag dump. Great summation of how strange 2021 was. And why the capital deployed in that time is dead. Jake / @iamjakestream : See if you can spot COIN on that graph Lewis / @ctjlewis : yup. that's why they loved crypto. everyone ELSE lost money. they did not. Denny / @dennythedev : Reading about the early days of Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz give a sense of how ahead of the curve they were then and now @amendandpretend : Bill Gurley: Most of the money in venture capital is made selling into bubbles George Hartley / @gthartley : Aka 2021 was a big year in crypto David Galbraith / @daveg : It's a Pareto distribution even for the vintages. Brent Franson / @brentfranson : Better title: 2021 was almost as good as all other years combined @oladayo_adenubi : Those 2021 overvalued deals slapped like mad in later years. Daniel Merja / @danielmerja : look at those jpeg monkey returns holy wow! @luke_metro : “why is crypto spending so much on government lobbying?” Brandon / @brandon_m_kumar : This is how venture works. Money is made in bubbles. Between 1980 and 2000, firms made 83% of their profit in a 3 year period and 1% per year over the prior 17 years. First Round made over 90% of their returns in a 36 month window despite being a 20 year-old firm. Hyperharvest. @equityindallas : One of the biggest “tide going out” moments for PE/VC was whether a manager was a net buyer or seller in 2021. Andreessen Horowitz did good. @wholemarsblog : not bad @____nanakong : this is how PE should work.

Newcomer Eric Newcomer

Context & Ripple Effects

The leaked performance figures put numbers behind a16z’s long-running strategy of pairing venture investing with a broader platform. Its 2019 move to register employees as financial advisers was intended to support riskier investments, including crypto; the new data provides a retrospective measure of that approach’s payoff.

The disclosure also follows a16z’s $7.2B fundraise in 2024, which expanded its capacity across late-stage, gaming and American Dynamism vehicles. The reported Fund III multiple and 2021 exits help explain why the firm has been able to keep raising at that scale.

First-order effects

  • The decks give current and prospective limited partners a concrete, though leaked, benchmark for a16z’s realized and unrealized performance, led by the reported 9.4x net TVPI on its 2012 Fund III.
  • a16z gains additional fundraising and recruiting credibility from linking returns to exits including Coinbase, Roblox, Affirm, UiPath, DigitalOcean and Stack Overflow.

Second-order effects

  • Rival venture firms face more pressure to substantiate headline portfolio wins with fund-level net-return data, rather than relying on unicorn counts or individual exits.
  • For founders seeking large, multi-stage backing, the figures reinforce the appeal of firms with demonstrated capacity to hold positions through public listings and acquisitions; that can strengthen leading managers’ access to competitive rounds.

Third-order effects

  • If more firms’ internal fund data becomes visible, LP due diligence may put greater weight on net multiples and distributions, making performance dispersion among venture managers harder to obscure.
  • The pattern supports a more concentrated venture market in which firms with durable exit records can raise larger, broader funds and compete across early-stage and late-stage investing, though leaked data alone does not establish an industry-wide shift.

The trend: Venture capital is trending toward greater concentration around managers that can translate early ownership into large exits and use that record to sustain ever-larger, multi-strategy platforms.

Discussion

  • @iamhenrymascot Henry Mascot on x
    2021 exits: Coinbase (IPO, ~$6B stake value), Roblox (IPO), Affirm (IPO), UiPath (IPO), DigitalOcean (IPO), Stack Overflow (acquired for $1.8B).
  • @doodcapital @doodcapital on x
    Holy bag dump. Great summation of how strange 2021 was. And why the capital deployed in that time is dead.
  • @iamjakestream Jake on x
    See if you can spot COIN on that graph
  • @ctjlewis Lewis on x
    yup. that's why they loved crypto. everyone ELSE lost money. they did not.
  • @dennythedev Denny on x
    Reading about the early days of Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz give a sense of how ahead of the curve they were then and now
  • @amendandpretend @amendandpretend on x
    Bill Gurley: Most of the money in venture capital is made selling into bubbles
  • @gthartley George Hartley on x
    Aka 2021 was a big year in crypto
  • @daveg David Galbraith on x
    It's a Pareto distribution even for the vintages.
  • @brentfranson Brent Franson on x
    Better title: 2021 was almost as good as all other years combined
  • @oladayo_adenubi @oladayo_adenubi on x
    Those 2021 overvalued deals slapped like mad in later years.
  • @danielmerja Daniel Merja on x
    look at those jpeg monkey returns holy wow!
  • @luke_metro @luke_metro on x
    “why is crypto spending so much on government lobbying?”
  • @brandon_m_kumar Brandon on x
    This is how venture works. Money is made in bubbles. Between 1980 and 2000, firms made 83% of their profit in a 3 year period and 1% per year over the prior 17 years. First Round made over 90% of their returns in a 36 month window despite being a 20 year-old firm. Hyperharvest.
  • @equityindallas @equityindallas on x
    One of the biggest “tide going out” moments for PE/VC was whether a manager was a net buyer or seller in 2021. Andreessen Horowitz did good.
  • @wholemarsblog @wholemarsblog on x
    not bad
  • @____nanakong @____nanakong on x
    this is how PE should work.