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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Figma's stock dropped 27.38% to $88.60 on August 4 after last week's IPO pop; its fully diluted valuation sits at ~$56B, still almost triple Adobe's 2022 offer

Figma shares dropped 27% on Monday, cutting into the gains the design software company posted after hitting the market last week.

CNBC Jordan Novet

Context & Ripple Effects

Figma entered public trading after pricing above its indicated range and raising $1.2B in an IPO priced at $33 a share. Its first session then closed 250% above the offer price, establishing an unusually high public-market benchmark almost immediately.

The reversal cuts into that opening surge but leaves Figma’s fully diluted valuation well above the $20B transaction Adobe abandoned, following the collapse of Adobe’s proposed acquisition. The move matters because the market is now repricing Figma in public rather than private-market terms.

First-order effects

  • Figma shareholders absorb a sharp one-day reduction in the value implied by the post-IPO trading price; at $88.60, the shares remain substantially above the IPO price despite the decline.
  • The company’s fully diluted valuation falls to roughly $56B, narrowing—but not eliminating—the gap created by its first-day trading surge.

Second-order effects

  • The drop gives prospective buyers and IPO-market participants a clearer signal that the initial trading price is volatile, rather than a settled valuation for Figma.
  • Adobe’s failed $20B bid remains a salient comparison point: Figma’s public valuation still implies investors assign materially more value to the standalone company than that earlier proposal.

Third-order effects

  • If large opening-day gains are followed by sharp repricing, IPOs may increasingly separate fundraising valuations from the prices public investors ultimately sustain.
  • Figma’s path from a lower-valued private tender to a far higher public valuation highlights how public markets can become the decisive venue for valuing major software platforms after a strategic sale fails.

The trend: Figma is part of a broader shift in which late-stage software companies use IPOs to establish independent market valuations after private-market pricing and failed M&A no longer provide a clear benchmark.

Discussion

  • r/StockMarket r on reddit
    Figma's stock sinks 27% after last week's IPO pop
  • @vishalkgupta Vishal K. Gupta on x
    “CEO wanted to bring on board certain long-term institutional shareholders” If this is true.. this is the stupidest shit ever
  • @j0hnwang John Wang on x
    Figma underpriced its IPO to please the gatekeepers. It's easier to comply with the system than go against it Until we rebuild capital markets structure (crypto?) or a brave behemoth defies them (e.g. SpaceX establishing a new precedent), founders will keep folding to the cartel
  • @breakingsaas Thomas Robb on x
    You give them a partial position. There's only so many high-quality, long-term growth funds that can make sizable investments in public markets. Each of them have a target % of fund for a full position. You give them 10-20% of the position. You can back into how much will be
  • @j0hnwang John Wang on x
    yes, bring on board “long-term investors” by giving them zero lockup and an 80% discount to opening price that's one way to light $3B on fire while getting applauded by Wall Street
  • @geoffreywoo Geoffrey Woo on x
    Maybe we shouldn't feel bad for @zoink and his shareholders because it's his company and his money and why is everyone pocket counting these new billionaires and millionaires. If you go IPO, you can go negotiate with your ibanks and charge a higher list price.
  • @bgurley Bill Gurley on x
    Consider this. If you leave those investors on the sideline don't they represent massive future buying support? Or do you assume they would shun you out of spite? And if that's true - why do you want them again?