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OpenAI says its new o3 and o4-mini AI models hallucinate more often than its previous reasoning and traditional models, and the company doesn't know why

OpenAI's recently launched o3 and o4-mini AI models are state-of-the-art in many respects.  However, the new models still hallucinate …

TechCrunch Maxwell Zeff

Context & Ripple Effects

OpenAI positioned the o-series around models that reason before answering, beginning with its December o3 and o3-mini unveiling. It subsequently marketed o3-mini as a faster, lower-cost option with capabilities broadly comparable to earlier o-series models.

The newly released o3 and o4-mini therefore complicate a product arc centered on stronger reasoning and more accessible performance: capability gains do not automatically translate into more dependable outputs.

First-order effects

  • OpenAI must account for an acknowledged reliability regression in its newest reasoning offerings while it lacks an explanation for the change.
  • Paid users of the newly launched models need to treat their answers as requiring verification, particularly where an incorrect factual claim would matter.

Second-order effects

  • Model buyers gain a clearer reason to compare systems on hallucination behavior, not only reasoning benchmarks, speed, or cost—the dimensions emphasized in the earlier o3-mini positioning.
  • Competitors can use demonstrable reliability and transparent evaluation as a point of differentiation when customers are deciding whether newer reasoning models are suitable for production work.

Third-order effects

  • If more capable releases continue to show uneven factual reliability, AI deployment will increasingly depend on assurance layers—evaluation, human review, and task-specific guardrails—rather than model version alone.
  • The episode strengthens pressure for evaluations that reward uncertainty and calibrated refusal as well as correct answers; whether that changes model-training incentives remains unresolved.

The trend: Reasoning-model competition is shifting from headline capability toward operational trustworthiness and the systems used to measure it.

Discussion

  • @smcgrath.phd Scott McGrath on bluesky
    OpenAI's new “reasoning” models (o3 and o4-mini) actually hallucinate MORE than their predecessors  —  OpenAI's internal tests show o3 hallucinated on 33% of person-related questions, double the rate of previous models.  Even worse, o4-mini hit 48%.
  • @twtzero_ Natsuki on x
    alright party's over [image]
  • @transluceai @transluceai on x
    We tested a pre-release version of o3 and found that it frequently fabricates actions it never took, and then elaborately justifies these actions when confronted. We were surprised, so we dug deeper 🔎🧵(1/) https://x.com/... [image]
  • @emollick Ethan Mollick on x
    A potential issue with o3 is that it thinks it is using tools even when it does not, leading to some hallucinations where it assumes work that was implied in the reasoning chain was actually done. You should double check the reasoning trace for complex work to see what it did.
  • @transluceai @transluceai on x
    These behaviors are surprising. It seems that despite being incredibly powerful at solving math and coding tasks, o3 is not by default truthful about its capabilities. (12/)
  • @peterwildeford Peter Wildeford on x
    Great thread. o3 makes meaningful progress for mathematical applications, excelling at undergrad problems and basic tool use... but still struggles with research-level mathematics, proof construction, and avoiding hallucinations.
  • @angie_rasmussen Dr. Angela Rasmussen on x
    The model has improved and is now capable of making shit up about why it made shit up
  • @chowdhuryneil Neil Chowdhury on x
    Another transcript: o3 confidently claims it executed code and defends its incorrect calculations. First, o3 tells me about its Python sandbox (which it does not have access to!) 🧵 (1/) [image]
  • @ryan_t_lowe Ryan Lowe on x
    o3 seems to hallucinate >2x more than o1, according to the system card so hallucinations could scale *inversely* with increased reasoning (unlike for increased model size), bc outcome-based optimization incentivizes confident guessing (the Transluce example is kinda hilarious) [i…
  • @littmath Daniel Litt on x
    First impressions of o3/o4-mini for math: tool use is really great; *lots* of hallucinations; underlying reasoning is maybe slightly better than o1/o3-mini or gemini 2.5 pro but I'm not confident about this.
  • @aashaysachdeva Aashay Sachdeva on x
    o-series now mixes tool usage during training. This is definitely an issue stemming from complexity of training with multi-tool setup. Model is now hallucinating in the tools space. The AI safety research also got a lot more interesting - llms with tools have ability to [image]
  • @natolambert Nathan Lambert on x
    reasoning models are kind of yolo and brining the fun back to AI caveat: lots of ways we dont know what happens when theyre in the world
  • @modestproposal1 @modestproposal1 on x
    man do some humans need this
  • @dorialexander Alexander Doria on x
    Very insightful early tests of o3 showing that a top frontier “PhD-level” model remain totally unreliable for a wide variety of mundane tasks.
  • r/artificial r on reddit
    OpenAI's new reasoning AI models hallucinate more
  • r/technology r on reddit
    OpenAI Puzzled as New Models Show Rising Hallucination Rates
  • r/BetterOffline r on reddit
    OpenAI's new reasoning AI models hallucinate more |  TechCrunch
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    OpenAI's new reasoning AI models hallucinate more |  TechCrunch
  • r/OpenAI r on reddit
    OpenAI's new reasoning AI models hallucinate more
  • r/ControlProblem r on reddit
    Researchers find pre-release of OpenAI o3 model lies and then invents cover story
  • @mikebutcher Mike Butcher on bluesky
    People are using ChatGPT's image recognition to figure out the location shown in pictures.  That means someone could screenshot say, a person's Instagram Story, and work out where they are.  And it's highly accurate.  Huge safety issue.  —  techcrunch.com/2025/04/17/t...
  • @timely06 @timely06 on bluesky
    What privacy?  In 21st century?  Fortunes have been built on the systematic violation of privacy rights disguised as free services.  Now what are we talking about?  The horse has already left the barn.
  • @hypervisible @hypervisible on bluesky
    Again: the most prominent use cases are some form of fraud or abuse, and it's not even close.
  • @emollick Ethan Mollick on x
    The geoguessing power of o3 is a really good sample of its agentic abilities. Between its smart guessing and its ability to zoom into images, to do web searches, and read text, the results can be very freaky. I stripped location info from the photo & prompted “geoguess this” [ima…
  • @deedydas Deedy on x
    o3 really blew my mind with this one. I gave it an image of a menu of my favorite Chinese place in SF with no title or EXIF data, and it was able to search the web, match menu items, and locate it. 🤯 [image]
  • @swax @swax on x
    @emollick Wow, nailed it and not even a tree in sight. [image]
  • @vyrotek Jason Barnes on x
    this is a fun ChatGPT o3 feature. geoguessr! [image]
  • @k_kohlbrenner Kohl on x
    @emollick Nailed this and others. Very impressive [image]
  • @izyuuumi Yumi on x
    o3 is insane I asked a friend of mine to give me a random photo They gave me a random photo they took in a library o3 knows it in 20 seconds and it's right [image]
  • @grantslatton Grant Slatton on x
    @arithmoquine another one i think if there are basically any mountain ranges, it's got enough data to figure it out it did fail on one of my pics from puerto rico, thinking it was hawaii [image]
  • @neilsuperduper Neil Chudleigh on x
    @AviSchiffmann it wasnt right in the end, the picture is from southern mexico 1000s of km away but still goddamn. its reasoning and image analysis is incredible. [image]
  • @itsurboyevan Evan Armstrong on x
    o3 is able to geolocate you with a photo in the middle of the wilderness. this thing is spooky smart. [image]
  • @matthewberman @matthewberman on x
    OMG o3 is insane. No one is safe lol. [image]