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Policy paper: Eric Schmidt, Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang, and Center for AI Safety Director Dan Hendrycks argue the US shouldn't do a “Manhattan Project” for AGI

In a policy paper published Wednesday, former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang

TechCrunch Maxwell Zeff

Context & Ripple Effects

The paper adds a constraint to a policy argument in which Eric Schmidt had recently urged Western investment in open-source models while also calling for cross-border AI-safety cooperation at the AI Action Summit. It distinguishes support for U.S. AI competitiveness from endorsement of a single, centrally organized AGI program.

It also lands against a longer-running scrutiny of Schmidt's overlap between AI investing and national-security policy work, including conflict-of-interest concerns about his AI investments. That makes the paper's institutional prescription—not only its safety framing—material to the debate.

First-order effects

  • Schmidt, Wang, and Hendrycks put a prominent joint position into the U.S. AGI-policy debate: they oppose a Manhattan Project-style development effort.
  • The paper immediately gives policymakers and AI organizations a clear distinction to test—supporting AI capacity or safety work does not necessarily mean supporting centralized AGI development.

Second-order effects

  • Advocates of a government-led AGI effort will need to answer the paper's critique of the program's structure, rather than treating AI competitiveness as sufficient justification for that model.
  • Companies and safety groups engaging government on frontier AI may face sharper questions about which responsibilities belong with the state and which should remain outside a single national program.

Third-order effects

  • If this divide persists, AI industrial policy may be shaped less by a simple race-versus-safety framing and more by competing views of how directly the state should organize frontier-model development.
  • The episode points toward a more contested model of state-mediated AI: prominent industry and safety figures can favor strategic capacity while resisting formal centralization of AGI work.

The trend: AI policy is increasingly separating the goal of national AI capability from the question of whether government should directly coordinate frontier development.

Discussion

  • @skynetandchill.com @skynetandchill.com on bluesky
    Instead of racing to AGI, great powers should compete to hobble each others' AIs ... I guess I have to read it because it sounds silly
  • @robinreed Robin Reed on bluesky
    This is a crucial issue and you dont need to be in tech to understand why.  Great reporting, the pdf is a must read about the future.  With Musk/Trump at the wheel, this is something everyone needs to be aware of.
  • @thisguyoftheai Piotr Cieluchowski on x
    So, Eric Schmidt and his pals think a Manhattan Project for AGI is a terrible idea. Who needs “superhuman” intelligence when we can just stick with our current tech that barely keeps up? Dive into their genius reasoning here, if you dare: https://techcrunch.com/...
  • r/technology r on reddit
    Eric Schmidt argues against a ‘Manhattan Project for AGI’