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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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How Walmart's investment in tech, including an AI tool to plan worker shifts, helped it take on Amazon, with 18% of its ~$680B revenue in 2024 generated online

Walmart was founded by Sam Walton, who grew up in a farming family, in 1962. …

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

Walmart’s technology push builds on earlier store automation, including Pickup Towers and inventory-scanning robots, and its planned expansion of automated picking and packing for online grocery orders. The shift-planning tool extends that operational digitization from fulfillment equipment to labor allocation.

The reported online-revenue share makes the operational program strategically relevant: Walmart is using its store network and workforce systems to strengthen its position against Amazon, rather than treating e-commerce as a separate channel.

First-order effects

  • Walmart can use AI-assisted shift planning to align store labor more closely with operational demand, changing how managers schedule associates.
  • Its technology investments support an online business that accounted for 18% of 2024 revenue, reinforcing Walmart’s ability to compete with Amazon across physical and digital retail.

Second-order effects

  • The combination of store operations, fulfillment automation, and workforce planning raises the execution bar for retailers competing on online convenience without abandoning physical locations.
  • Walmart’s continued automation of picking and packing for online grocery orders makes labor-planning systems more consequential, because staffing and fulfillment capacity must be coordinated.

Third-order effects

  • If this model continues to work, retail competition will increasingly turn on how well large chains connect stores, logistics, digital ordering, and labor data—not on e-commerce scale alone.
  • The longer-term labor question is whether automation primarily changes job design and scheduling or also constrains headcount growth, an issue raised in coverage of automation-led sales growth without job creation.

The trend: Large retailers are turning AI and automation into an integrated operating system for stores, fulfillment, and digital commerce.

Discussion

  • @antitrustwire David Hatch on x
    “Forrester estimates that Walmart and Amazon will together control two-thirds of a projected $1.1tn in US ecommerce sales by 2029, While ecommerce is not yet profitable for Walmart, [CFO] Rainey predicts it will be at a global level in a year or two.” @FT https://www.ft.com/...