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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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In 2024, ransomware attackers received ~$813.55M in payments from victims, down 35% on 2023's record $1.25B, as more victims refused to pay

The ransomware landscape experienced significant changes in 2024, with cryptocurrency continuing to play a central role in extortion.

Chainalysis

Context & Ripple Effects

The reported decline follows a volatile payment cycle: Chainalysis had identified a 2022 drop in ransomware receipts before a record 2023 rebound. That makes 2024 less a simple linear recovery story than a fresh test of whether victims can sustain nonpayment.

Cryptocurrency remains the payment rail in this coverage, so the shift matters both as a measure of attackers’ realized revenue and of victims’ willingness to absorb disruption rather than fund extortion.

First-order effects

  • Ransomware operators collected about $813.55M from victims in 2024, 35% below the article’s stated 2023 record, reducing the proceeds realized from successful extortion.
  • More victims refusing to pay shifts the immediate cost of incidents away from ransom transfers and toward recovery, continuity, and response efforts.

Second-order effects

  • A lower payment rate raises the value of prevention, backups, and incident-response capability for organizations seeking to make refusal viable.
  • For cryptocurrency tracing and compliance efforts, lower ransomware payment flows do not remove the need to monitor extortion finance while crypto remains central to the model.

Third-order effects

  • If refusal holds through future attack cycles, ransomware economics may become less dependent on the number of compromises and more dependent on extracting payment from a narrower set of victims.
  • The 2022 decline, 2023 rebound, and 2024 fall show that aggregate ransom receipts are a volatile indicator; sustained assessment will need to separate attack activity from victims’ propensity to pay.

The trend: Ransomware is moving toward a contest between attackers’ ability to compel payment and victims’ growing capacity to refuse it, rather than a steadily rising payment market.

Discussion

  • @jburnskoven J. Burns Koven on x
    In 2024, ransomware hit new highs: •Total ransomware leak sites •Number of claimed victims •A record $75M payment And yet, total ransomware revenue was 35% LOWER in 2024. Yes, you read that right. So how did this happen? 🧵 [image]