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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Canalys: China smartphone shipments rose 4% YoY to 285M units in 2024, with Vivo up 11% to a 17% market share, Huawei up 37% to 16%, and Apple down 17% to 15%

US tech giant faces competition on mainland as it struggles to introduce AI features on its flagship product

Financial Times William Langley

Context & Ripple Effects

China’s handset market returned to growth in 2024 after shipments declined in 2023, when Apple briefly took the leading position. That rebound has not lifted all vendors equally: Apple’s early-2024 decline coincided with Huawei’s renewed share gains and Vivo’s market leadership.

The year-end results extend a midyear pattern in which Huawei’s China shipments were already accelerating while Apple’s share was slipping. Apple’s difficulty bringing AI features to its flagship product in China adds a product-positioning constraint to that competitive reversal.

First-order effects

  • Vivo becomes the 2024 market-share leader at 17%, while Huawei reaches 16%; Apple falls to 15% after a 17% shipment decline, leaving it behind both domestic rivals.
  • Apple faces immediate pressure to arrest declining China volumes as competitors gain share in a market that expanded overall.

Second-order effects

  • Vivo and Huawei have more reason to defend their gains through product launches and channel execution, raising the competitive bar for Apple rather than merely benefiting from a shrinking market.
  • Apple’s China strategy will be more exposed to whether it can offer locally competitive flagship features, including the AI capabilities cited as a current challenge.

Third-order effects

  • If these share movements persist, China’s premium smartphone market could become less dependent on Apple’s annual upgrade cycle and more centered on domestic vendors’ product and distribution advantages.
  • The results reinforce an early-2024 shift toward Huawei as Apple weakened; sustained local feature differentiation could make AI readiness a more consequential source of handset-market segmentation.

The trend: China’s smartphone recovery is increasingly redistributing share toward domestic vendors, with AI-feature availability becoming part of the flagship competition.