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Source: Apple is no longer in talks to participate in an OpenAI funding round that is expected to raise as much as $6.5B

Company behind ChatGPT is aiming to raise around $6.5 billion in funding set to close next week  —  Apple is no longer in talks to participate in an OpenAI funding round expected …

Wall Street Journal

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s reported withdrawal follows an earlier structure in which Apple would add ChatGPT to its operating systems without an upfront payment, while seeking eventual revenue-sharing arrangements with chatbot providers. That made the commercial distribution relationship distinct from an equity stake from the outset.

It also follows Apple’s decision not to take an OpenAI board observer role amid AI antitrust scrutiny. Together, the coverage points to Apple keeping its OpenAI relationship at arm’s length even as ChatGPT was becoming part of its product strategy.

First-order effects

  • OpenAI loses Apple as a prospective participant in the funding round, leaving the round’s investor mix and any capital Apple might have supplied to be covered by other backers.
  • Apple retains flexibility to use ChatGPT in its products without tying itself to OpenAI through a direct ownership position.

Second-order effects

  • Other prospective and existing OpenAI backers gain greater importance in completing the planned raise; a contemporaneous analysis highlighted the possibility of Microsoft funding OpenAI’s costs tied to Apple’s ChatGPT usage, illustrating how commercial payments and financing could become intertwined.
  • The separation of Apple’s distribution role from its investment role puts more weight on the eventual economics of the ChatGPT integration, including any revenue-sharing arrangement rather than an equity alignment.

Third-order effects

  • If large platform distributors continue to partner with frontier-model providers without taking stakes or board roles, AI alliances may increasingly be governed by usage, revenue-share, and infrastructure contracts rather than cross-ownership.
  • Antitrust sensitivity may reinforce that structure: keeping capital, governance, and distribution separate can reduce visible entanglement, though it does not eliminate dependence on a small set of major platforms and funders.

The trend: Frontier AI partnerships are evolving toward commercially negotiated access and distribution arrangements, while ownership and governance ties face greater scrutiny.

Discussion

  • @72mena Juan Flores Mena on threads
    Maybe Apple got a sneak peek at the hardware OpenAI is building with Jony Ive and decided to create distance now.
  • @firerock31 Andy Cheng on threads
    Apple rarely invests in other companies, so their decision to drop out of investing in OpenAI is a clear sign that something might be off, especially with OpenAI expecting to close this funding round next week.  It's also concerning that Apple lags so far behind its competitors i…
  • Vox Sigal Samuel on x
    OpenAI as we knew it is dead
  • @sigalsamuel Sigal Samuel on x
    OpenAI is building tech that aims to totally change the world without asking if we consent. It's undemocratic. And Sam Altman just proved that bespoke corporate structures & voluntary commitments won't cut it — we need LAWS that give independent oversight https://www.vox.com/...
  • @wsjtech @wsjtech on x
    OpenAI's plan to convert to a for-profit company is meant to simplify the world's leading AI startup. Making that happen will be enormously complex. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • r/Futurology r on reddit
    OpenAI as we knew it is dead |  The maker of ChatGPT promised to share its profits with the public.  But Sam Altman just sold you out.
  • @gruber John Gruber on threads
    Yeah what a miss. Tim Cook and his dumb focus on profitable (and carbon neutral) products and services.
  • @paul_rietschka Paul Rietschka on threads
    It's not a company.  It's not a cult.  It's...an incinerator for cash with no future prospects whatsoever.  $44/per user for ChatGPT Pro, btw, for those of you who enjoy making poor decisions.
  • @kalihays1 Kali Hays on threads
    Several new deets in here based on info OAI sent to potential investors.  Including!  Plans to charge individual users $44 to use ChatGPT plus  —  RE: https://www.threads.net/...
  • @benedictevans Benedict Evans on threads
    OpenAI hit $300m of monthly revenue in August Accenture booked $1bn of ‘generative AI’ work in the 3 months to August.
  • @annmlipton @annmlipton on x
    This is interesting - OpenAI, and Anthropic before it, are using SPVs to raise money. https://www.nytimes.com/... The purpose of that is the securities laws. If OpenAI/Anthropic have too many investors, they'll have to make public filings. But -
  • @grady_booch Grady Booch on x
    “For every dollar we make it costs us a dollar and thirty cents, but don't worry, we'll make it up in volume.” — OpenAI
  • @ccm_brett Brett on x
    triple digit negative profit margins Just a little more scale and we get there, I promise
  • @garymarcus Gary Marcus on x
    updating with a slight softening, 7 hours later: If it doesn't fall apart, investors will demand unusual conditions. some hint of that already, here: https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @jason_kint Jason Kint on x
    Here is the full report. And remember they're not paying for nearly all of the content they're arguably “stealing” to train their LLMs. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @jason_kint Jason Kint on x
    Wow. Spending $8.7B to get $3.7B. [image]
  • @modestproposal1 @modestproposal1 on x
    The good news is that OAI predicts $100B in 2029 revs. The bad news is if scaling laws hold that's less than a training run will cost. [image]
  • @modestproposal1 @modestproposal1 on x
    I know they have to have forecasts but if you build God who knows but it's probably more than $100B and if you don't $44/mo consumer subscription product seems unlikely? https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @amir Amir Efrati on x
    @MikeIsaac & @eringriffith today have additional reporting supporting this. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @mikeisaac Rat King on x
    sorry, 350 million Monthly users! didnt mean to short change em! more numbers here [image]
  • @zerohedge @zerohedge on x
    *OPENAI MONTHLY REVENUE HIT $300M IN AUGUST: NYT how much of it is from high school/college students?
  • @modestproposal1 @modestproposal1 on x
    Honestly thought God would cost more $44/month [image]
  • @eringriffith Erin Griffith on x
    Scoop w @MikeIsaac: A detailed look at OpenAI's financials as part of its latest fundraise. One key detail: Lead investor Thrive Capital gets to invest up to $1bn more at the same $150bn valuation through the end of 2025. No other investor gets that term.
  • @mikeisaac Rat King on x
    NEW: OpenAI expects $3.7 billion in revenue in 2024 and has 300 million monthly users but it expects to lose at least $5 billion in 2024, and needs to continue raising money to deal with its mounting costs story w @eringriffith https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • r/Economics r on reddit
    OpenAI Is Growing Fast and Burning Through Piles of Money
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    Gift Article: OpenAI Is Growing Fast and Burning Through Piles of Money
  • @cathiedwood Cathie Wood on x
    OpenAI's freemium strategy is working.
  • @manan @manan on x
    alright y'all, time to get out of your OpenAI positions, ARKK has found out about OAI
  • @indaindica.bsky.social @indaindica.bsky.social on bluesky
    Yet, it would cost nothing to NOT build those plants.  Clearly the better decision.  [embedded post]
  • @marsrover.bsky.social @marsrover.bsky.social on bluesky
    OK but I would absolutely listen to hours upon hours of TSMC guys just absolutely roasting the shit out of Valley bros & VCs.
  • @mikal-el.com Mikal Lewis on bluesky
    We're past the era where we should empower pro-computing voices that aren't vigorously exploring the paradox of sustainable computing.  —  Headlines about cloud computing expansion and hurricane impact don't belong in the same news cycle.  [embedded post]
  • @fluxandflow.bsky.social @fluxandflow.bsky.social on bluesky
    I cannot articulate how happy it makes me that he was shot down and ridiculed by TSMC.  [embedded post]
  • @lifewinning.com Ingrid Burrington on bluesky
    I promise once we spend 1/10th of the GDP of the fuckin planet this tech that currently loses billions of dollars will be profitable!!  What a clown [embedded post]
  • @stevelohr Steve Lohr on x
    Tracking the Sam Altman road show to drum up global support for a massive data-center and chip-factory investment plan. @CadeMetz + @trippmickle https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @edzitron Ed Zitron on x
    This article is really good, but also shows that Altman lacks the juice and know-how to actually turn the wheels of power beyond money. https://www.nytimes.com/... [image]
  • r/ArtistHate r on reddit
    OpenAI reportedly wants to build ‘five to seven’ 5 gigawatt data centers — 'You're talking about more than 1% of global electricity consumption for just those datacenters alone'
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    Behind OpenAI's Audacious Plan to Make A.I. Flow Like Electricity (Gift Article) (2024-09-25)