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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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The US Commerce Department proposes banning Chinese and Russian software and hardware in internet connected vehicles in US; the software ban would begin in 2027

The Biden administration fears Beijing could collect data on American drivers or hack into cars

Financial Times Felicia Schwartz

Context & Ripple Effects

The proposal follows a US security inquiry into Chinese-made vehicles and an earlier report that Commerce was preparing restrictions on Chinese vehicle software and wireless hardware. It turns connected-car components into a trade and national-security issue rather than only an automotive sourcing decision.

The reported plan also establishes a path later reflected in the final rule covering connected vehicles tied to China or Russia. Subsequent coverage says the new rules pushed manufacturers to reduce reliance on Chinese components, showing why the proposal matters beyond a single software category.

First-order effects

  • US automakers and connected-vehicle suppliers would need to identify Chinese- and Russian-linked software and hardware in vehicles intended for the US market, and plan around the proposed 2027 software deadline.
  • Chinese and Russian vendors supplying these systems would face a prospective loss of access to US connected-vehicle programs if the rule is adopted.

Second-order effects

  • Automakers would pressure tier-one suppliers to document component provenance and offer compliant substitutes, extending scrutiny from vehicle brands into embedded software and electronics supply chains.
  • Non-Chinese suppliers of vehicle software, communications hardware, and related integration services could gain opportunities as carmakers diversify sourcing to meet the proposed restrictions.

Third-order effects

  • If finalized and enforced, the policy would make national-origin screening a durable design constraint for connected vehicles, not merely an import or procurement check.
  • The measure points toward broader treatment of data-producing, remotely updateable products as security-sensitive infrastructure, though the scope will depend on the final rule and its implementation.

The trend: Connected products are increasingly being governed through supply-chain and software-origin controls as governments treat digital access as a national-security exposure.

Discussion

  • @nicoleperlroth Nicole Perlroth on x
    This is big news and follows on the administration's warnings about Chin: “Volt Typhoon” cyber attacks on our water and transportation.
  • @ericgeller Eric Geller on x
    Here's the proposed rule: https://public-inspection.federalregist er.gov/ ... [image]
  • @ericgeller Eric Geller on x
    New: @CommerceGov is proposing a rule to ban the U.S. sale or import of cars w/ Russian or Chinese hardware or software (& sale or import of those components themselves). https://www.whitehouse.gov/... Software ban takes effect for 2027 cars. Hardware ban takes effect for 2030 ca…