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Verizon to begin rolling out LTE CAT-M network by end of 2016 to offer low-power connectivity for IoT devices; 700M IoT devices are estimated to use it by 2021

BI Intelligence / Business Insider :

Business Insider BI Intelligence

Context & Ripple Effects

This announcement is the starting gun for Verizon's dedicated IoT network strategy: the carrier commits to rolling out an LTE CAT-M network by end of 2016, purpose-built for low-power devices rather than smartphones, with BI Intelligence projecting 700M devices on it by 2021. The bet pays off quickly — Verizon follows through with a nationwide Category M1 launch in spring 2017, priced from $2 per device per month.

The move puts machine connectivity on the same strategic footing as consumer service: Vodafone's disclosure of 65M IoT connections generating ~€235M in a single quarter shows carriers are already monetizing this line at scale, and Verizon is racing to claim the US share.

First-order effects

  • IoT device makers gain a carrier-grade, low-power alternative to repurposed smartphone networks, with Verizon setting an anchor price of $2 per device per month at the 2017 launch.

Second-order effects

  • T-Mobile answers within a year with a $6-per-year NB-IoT plan it says undercuts Verizon's Cat-M pricing by roughly ten-to-one, turning IoT connectivity into a price war between national carriers.
  • Chip suppliers follow the demand signal — Qualcomm ships the low-power 212 LTE modem for IoT devices in 2020, completing the silicon layer beneath the carrier networks.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, cellular operators bifurcate their networks into human-facing broadband and machine-facing low-power layers, competing on per-device subscription economics rather than speed — a structural split that makes IoT a distinct revenue line alongside consumer plans.

The trend: Carriers are building dedicated low-power IoT networks and competing on per-device pricing, turning machine connectivity into a standalone product tier.