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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at China's humanoids market, after the city of Beijing launched a $1.4B robotics fund in January and Shanghai announced in July plans for a $1.4B fund

China dominates the market for electric vehicles.  Now it's chasing Tesla (TSLA.O) in the race to build battery-powered humanoids expected …

Reuters

Context & Ripple Effects

Beijing and Shanghai are each using dedicated robotics funds to support a national push into battery-powered humanoids, extending China’s existing electric-vehicle industrial base into a new hardware category.

The significance is less a single company launch than the involvement of two major cities: humanoid robotics is being treated as an industrial-development target alongside the contest with Tesla.

First-order effects

  • Robotics developers in Beijing and Shanghai gain access to dedicated local funding channels, while the two cities become more active participants in the sector’s development.
  • Tesla faces a more explicitly state-backed Chinese competitive field in battery-powered humanoids, rather than competition limited to individual startups.

Second-order effects

  • Local funding can intensify competition among Chinese robot makers for talent, manufacturing capacity and commercial deployments, concentrating activity around the cities offering support.
  • China’s electric-vehicle experience becomes more strategically relevant to humanoid builders because both categories depend on battery-powered hardware and production capabilities.

Third-order effects

  • If other local governments follow, humanoids could develop through a distributed, city-led industrial-policy model rather than solely through privately financed corporate R&D.
  • The longer-term contest may turn on whether public backing translates into useful, scalable robots; funding alone does not establish product or market leadership.

The trend: Humanoid robotics is becoming an AI-hardware industrial-policy arena, with Chinese cities using public capital to accelerate domestic competitors and supply capabilities.

Discussion

  • @vkhosla Vinod Khosla on x
    If each sold 10,000 robots a year at $10k there would be enough for everyone. Of course we'd have a power law distribution of sales.
  • @wolfejosh Josh Wolfe on x
    I personally don't get the humanoid attempts. Bipedal or handlike dexterity doesn't make sense to me. Even for navigating stairs, door handles and human built world. Why? Engineering beats evolution. Robots will reign but will not look or move like us Best bet is on AI + OS
  • @adeoressi Adeo Ressi on x
    Humanoid robots are coming for better or for worse.
  • @zebulgar Delian on x
    the year is 2028 98% of all venture funding is going towards funding 23,452 separate humanoid robot startups