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Microsoft's Windows 10: Anniversary Update to hit August 2; 350 million devices and counting

Microsoft will release Windows 10 on August 2 across the more than 350 million active devices where it is now running, and on other coming new PCs, phones and more.

ZDNet Mary Jo Foley

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the payoff moment of a year-long adoption sprint: Windows 10 went from 75 million devices in its first month to 200 million by January, then 300 million by May, and now past 350 million heading into the Anniversary Update. The timing is deliberate — the update lands August 2, right after the free upgrade offer ends July 29 and full Windows 10 Home moves to $119.

So Microsoft is using the first major feature release of its new OS to convert the last holdouts before the meter starts running, while locking in an installed base large enough that the Anniversary Update reaches more devices than most platforms ever total.

First-order effects

  • More than 350 million active device owners get the Anniversary Update pushed to them starting August 2, and anyone still on Windows 7/8.1 has three days left to upgrade free before Home pricing kicks in at $119.

Second-order effects

  • PC makers get a refreshed flagship OS to anchor back-to-school hardware shipments, since the update also targets 'other coming new PCs, phones and more' rather than only the existing base.
  • Developers building for the Anniversary Update's feature set can address an audience that grew fivefold in under a year, making Windows 10 the default target instead of legacy Windows versions.

Third-order effects

  • If the trajectory holds — the corpus already shows 400 million by September 2016 and 500 million by May 2017 — Windows settles into a service model where Microsoft's leverage comes from the size and currency of the installed base rather than per-license sales, which is exactly what the July 29 cutoff begins to test.

The trend: Windows is completing its transition from a product sold at upgrade time to a continuously updated platform whose value compounds with each milestone in active-device count.