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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Down-ballot US campaigns are experimenting with AI models, which can help them save money and time, while also adding to fears about the threats of deepfakes

Associated Press : X: @merica and @garanceburke X: Dan Merica / @merica : Artificial intelligence is a double-edged sword for downballot campaigns. The tech can help them save money and time. But small staffs, little notoriety and tiny margins raise worries about the threats of deepfakes. w/ @AliSwenson & @garanceburke: https://apnews.com/... Garance Burke / @garanceburke : My latest w @AliSwenson + @merica: Artificial intelligence is a double-edged sword for down-ballot campaigns. AI models can save them money + time. But small staffs, limited expertise + tiny margins raise fears that AI deepfakes also could tilt races. https://apnews.com/...

Associated Press

Context & Ripple Effects

This report brings the AI-in-politics debate down to the campaigns with the least staffing and slack. It follows growing pressure for guardrails around AI-generated campaign advertising and state efforts to require disclosure of AI use in political ads.

The central tension is that the same low-cost tools that expand a small campaign’s capacity can also make it harder for that campaign to respond when synthetic audio or video is used to undermine an election.

First-order effects

  • Down-ballot campaigns can use AI models to reduce the time and cost of campaign work, giving small staffs more operational capacity.
  • Those same campaigns face a more acute deepfake risk: limited expertise, name recognition, and electoral margins can leave less room to identify and counter a falsehood.

Second-order effects

  • Campaign consultants and election-support vendors have an incentive to package AI assistance alongside authentication, monitoring, and rapid-response services for smaller races.
  • Disclosure rules become more consequential for local contests, where campaigns may need practical compliance support rather than merely broad policy guidance.

Third-order effects

  • If adoption and misuse advance together, campaign advantage will depend less only on staff size and more on access to trustworthy AI workflows and credible verification channels.
  • The story reinforces a dual-use governance challenge: political AI rules must preserve legitimate efficiency gains while creating accountability for deceptive synthetic media.

The trend: Political AI is becoming a basic campaign capability whose cost-saving benefits and synthetic-media risks are arriving simultaneously, especially in resource-constrained races.

Discussion

  • @merica Dan Merica on x
    Artificial intelligence is a double-edged sword for downballot campaigns. The tech can help them save money and time. But small staffs, little notoriety and tiny margins raise worries about the threats of deepfakes. w/ @AliSwenson & @garanceburke: https://apnews.com/...
  • @garanceburke Garance Burke on x
    My latest w @AliSwenson + @merica: Artificial intelligence is a double-edged sword for down-ballot campaigns. AI models can save them money + time. But small staffs, limited expertise + tiny margins raise fears that AI deepfakes also could tilt races. https://apnews.com/...