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How the FBI can bypass auto-erasing without Apple's help by backing up part of the shooter's iPhone

One of the FBI's Major Claims in the iPhone Case is Fraudulent  —  Does the FBI Need to Worry About the San Bernadino Shooter's iPhone Self-Erasing?  —  “We have enormous computing power …

American Civil Liberties Union Daniel Kahn Gillmor

Context & Ripple Effects

This ACLU analysis lands mid-fight in the San Bernardino standoff, where Apple and the US government have been at odds over iPhone encryption since iOS 8. The FBI's core courtroom argument is that only Apple can help because ten wrong PIN entries trigger the phone's self-erase — and this piece asserts that claim is fraudulent: agents can copy part of the shooter's iPhone's memory first, then guess the PIN against the copy with no erase risk.

That reading aligns with what independent experts had already argued days earlier — that the FBI could crack the device alone but wanted a legal precedent compelling Apple's assistance — and with Apple's own brief cataloguing legal flaws and technical errors in the DOJ's arguments. If the self-erase obstacle is removable, the 'impossible without Apple' premise of the case collapses.

First-order effects

  • The FBI loses its central technical justification for the All Writs Act order against Apple: the auto-erase risk it cites is avoidable through memory backup, weakening the necessity argument in front of the courts reviewing the case.

Second-order effects

  • With the technical claim discredited, the dispute shifts from capability to precedent — exactly what the Bloomberg-sourced expert coverage flagged — forcing the DOJ to defend compelled-assistance orders on legal grounds rather than claimed impossibility.

Third-order effects

  • If government agencies overstate technical barriers to justify backdoor demands, vendors like Apple gain durable evidence for resisting them — yet the underlying access problem persists, as FBI Director Christopher Wray later disclosed agents were unable to unlock more than half the mobile devices they tried in fiscal year 2017, over 6,900 units.

The trend: Law-enforcement access fights are moving from claims of technical impossibility toward legal precedent battles over compelled decryption, with forensic workarounds like NAND mirroring by external firms eroding the government's leverage.