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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Square Enix's stock falls 16%, its biggest decline in 13 years, after President Takashi Kiryu said sales of its AAA games, exclusive to PlayStation, fell short

- Big titles released on PlayStation fell short, president says  — Games development overhaul seen taking time to bear fruit

Bloomberg Takashi Mochizuki

Context & Ripple Effects

This sharp selloff extends Square Enix's difficult post-release arc: after Final Fantasy XVI drew mixed reviews, the company had already lost roughly $2 billion in market value. The new disclosure ties investor concern more directly to the commercial performance of its high-budget PlayStation-exclusive releases.

It also tests the economics of platform exclusivity: a flagship title can strengthen a console relationship, but it limits the initial addressable audience when the publisher needs a large launch to recoup AAA development spending.

First-order effects

  • Square Enix faces an immediate reset in investor expectations after acknowledging that PlayStation-exclusive AAA sales missed its targets; its development overhaul is now under greater pressure to demonstrate results.
  • PlayStation is affected because a major third-party publisher has publicly identified disappointing outcomes from titles limited to its platform.

Second-order effects

  • Square Enix has a stronger incentive to reassess how broadly and how quickly it releases future large-budget games, weighing exclusivity against reach.
  • Other publishers considering exclusive arrangements gain a fresh cautionary example, especially after Square Enix's earlier market-value decline following Final Fantasy XVI.

Third-order effects

  • If repeated across major releases, the industry could shift further from platform-exclusive AAA launches toward wider distribution, making exclusivity a costlier concession for publishers.
  • Platform holders may need to show that exclusive-content arrangements create sufficient commercial value for partners, not only differentiation for their ecosystems.

The trend: This is one data point in the reassessment of whether console exclusivity can still support the economics of increasingly expensive AAA game development.

Discussion

  • Square Enix Holdings Square Enix Holdings on x
    Consolidated Financial Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2024 (Japan GAAP)
  • Gameranx Ryan Parreno on x
    Square Enix CEO: FF7 Rebirth, FF XVI, and Foamstars All Fell Short Of Expectations
  • @ultimashadowx @ultimashadowx on x
    “Foamstars fell short of expectations. Initial momentum didn't reach an internal target. No sales number to share.” Is the Foamstars initial momentum in the room with us right now?
  • @6d6f636869 Takashi Mochizuki on x
    Square Enix said: -FF16 sales fell short of expectations. Initial momentum was in line with expectations, but the games failed to reach FY goal as its momentum slowed. No updates from sales number last announced at 3 million -FF7 Rebirth sales fell short of expectations. Initial.…
  • @stephentotilo Stephen Totilo on x
    When's the last time any Square Enix game met the company's expectations?
  • @andy_vgc Andy Robinson on x
    Update: I'm told likely more than 20 redundancies are being made in London. Still no comment from Square Enix on our story yesterday.
  • @ana0216h Ana on x
    Sadly I have been impacted by the layoffs here at Square Enix. Thank you for 2 wonderful years full of experience, growth, & trust. This was my childhood dream to be here. Please let me if you're looking for a gaming/entertainment analyst 🫶🥹! Thank you everyone ✨️🙏 [image]
  • @andy_vgc Andy Robinson on x
    Breaking: Understand Square Enix has alerted staff in the US and Europe today to a round of layoffs as part of its restructuring. Publishing, IT and its indie label affected. https://www.videogameschronicle.com/ ...
  • @tamoorh Tamoor Hussain on x
    Relentless layoffs are decimating the industry right now. It's horrible to see.
  • @piratesoftware @piratesoftware on x
    Sony: Let's restrict our games so most of the known world can't buy them. Square Enix: Let's stop doing exclusives and make our games available on as many platforms as possible. The industry is 100% AAA whiplash at the moment. https://www.ign.com/...
  • @matoukinnie @matoukinnie on x
    square enix is always setting expectations like “if this game doesn't reach 1 billion sales im killing myself” and then doesn't advertise half their non-legacy franchise games
  • r/TwoBestFriendsPlay r on reddit
    Square Enix confirms both US and EU layoffs, as part of restructuring.  “...staff were told that people working in publishing, IT …