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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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PitchBook: VC investment in crypto startups rose 32% QoQ to $2.5B in Q1 2024, down from $2.6B in Q1 2023, after a brutal year for crypto and blockchain startups

Hannah Miller / Bloomberg :

Bloomberg Hannah Miller

Context & Ripple Effects

Crypto venture funding had begun to stabilize in late 2023, when quarterly investment edged up to $1.9B after a prolonged decline. The Q1 increase extends that tentative recovery rather than restoring the market to its earlier funding levels.

The comparison remains demanding: Q1 2023 funding was already sharply below the prior cycle's peak, while PitchBook's estimate that 2023 crypto investment fell to $9.5B underscores the depth of the reset.

First-order effects

  • Crypto startups seeking new rounds enter Q2 with a larger pool of recently deployed venture capital than in Q4 2023.
  • The year-over-year decline means founders and existing investors still face a materially more constrained financing environment than a year earlier.

Second-order effects

  • Investors that paused new crypto commitments may face pressure to re-engage selectively as deal activity improves, while active funds gain more opportunities to set terms.
  • A modest funding rebound can extend operating runway for funded startups, but limited exit activity—just 12 exits in Q4 2023—still restricts liquidity for venture backers.

Third-order effects

  • If consecutive quarterly gains continue, crypto venture could move from post-cycle retrenchment toward a more selective financing market centered on companies able to raise despite lower aggregate capital availability.
  • The gap between improving quarter-to-quarter activity and weaker year-over-year funding suggests the sector's recovery will depend on durable exit and follow-on financing conditions, not simply renewed early-stage deployment.

The trend: Crypto venture funding appears to be moving from a deep cyclical reset into a gradual, selective recovery, with liquidity conditions remaining the key constraint.