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Sources: Amazon's AGI team is aiming to outperform Anthropic's latest Claude models by the middle of 2024 using the company's forthcoming LLM, codenamed Olympus

This week, Amazon completed the second phase of a deal announced last September, when it committed to investing up to $4 billion in OpenAI rival Anthropic.

The Verge Alex Heath

Context & Ripple Effects

Amazon’s Olympus effort sits alongside, rather than in place of, its Anthropic partnership: the company had committed up to $4 billion for a minority stake in Anthropic in its initial Anthropic investment, and this report follows completion of the deal’s second phase.

That pairing matters because Amazon is simultaneously funding an external model supplier and trying to establish an internally developed model as a performance competitor. It makes model capability a strategic input Amazon does not intend to source from only one provider.

First-order effects

  • Amazon’s AGI team is tasked with benchmarking the forthcoming Olympus LLM against Anthropic’s latest Claude models, creating an internal performance target despite Amazon’s financial relationship with Anthropic.
  • Anthropic gains additional capital through the completed investment phase, while facing a better-funded prospective rival inside one of its major backers’ ecosystem.

Second-order effects

  • Amazon can use a credible in-house alternative to strengthen its negotiating position with Anthropic over model access, deployment terms, and the role Claude plays in Amazon products.
  • The partnership becomes more complex: teams building Amazon services may have to weigh a proprietary model against Claude rather than treating Anthropic as the default external frontier-model path.

Third-order effects

  • If major cloud platforms continue to invest in model startups while developing competing models, the market is likely to organize around multi-model portfolios rather than exclusive supplier relationships.
  • Competition will increasingly turn on the ability to pair model development with distribution, cloud infrastructure, and product integration—not only on standalone benchmark leadership.

The trend: This is one data point in AI industrialization, where cloud platforms hedge dependence on frontier-model partners by building proprietary models of their own.

Discussion

  • @paul_rietschka Paul Rietschka on threads
    $2.75B investment in Anthropic + Jassy has a pet project swallowing compute and money inside AWS.  And an internal “AGI team” (puke-a-tronic).  Powell.  Must.  Keep.  Raising.  Rates.
  • @vthallam Venkatesh Thallam on threads
    Which good CEO doesn't like a good hedge?  Especially for something as important as this.  Whether they pull it off or not is a different thing.
  • @marcslove Marc Love on threads
    They gotta have a backup in case Olympus turns out to be as big of a flop as Titan.
  • @jake_liebert Jake Liebert on threads
    Wild to think we might have another Claude/GPT-4 level LLM this year, but also wondering how close we are to an asymptote on LLM performance
  • @alexheath Alex Heath on threads
    On the surface, it looks like Amazon has found its OpenAI in Anthropic, with the retail giant investing another $2.75 billion this week.  Behind the scenes: Amazon's AGI group is pushing to have their secretive Olympus LLM outperform Anthropic's latest models in the coming months…
  • @morqon Morgan on x
    frenemies, all
  • @dicksonpau Dickson Pau on x
    I have never understood the argument that Amazon is embracing the open platform approach to LLMs. They are just behind.
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    Amazon has found its OpenAI in Anthropic, but Amazon's AGI group is pushing to have their secretive Olympus LLM outperform Anthropic's latest models in the coming months