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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Oracle reports Q3 revenue up 7% YoY to $13.3B, meeting expectations, and cloud services and license support revenues up 12% YoY to $9.96B; ORCL jumps 9%+

despite the fact we are opening new and expanding existing cloud datacenters very, very rapidly” $ORCL: +9.4% AH [image] LinkedIn: Craig Guarente : Three problems with Oracle earnings today...."Oracle's cloud services and license support segment, its largest business, saw sales rise 12% to $9.96 billion …

CNBC Kif Leswing

Context & Ripple Effects

Oracle’s cloud transition has been visible for years: the company reported sharply rising cloud revenue in its 2016 cloud earnings, and its cloud services and license-support business was still growing 13% in the previously reported Q1.

This quarter matters because that recurring cloud-and-support segment is now the company’s largest business, while Oracle says it is rapidly adding and expanding data centers to support it.

First-order effects

  • Oracle’s largest segment grew 12% to $9.96 billion, helping total Q3 revenue reach $13.3 billion and meet expectations.
  • The more than 9% after-hours share move immediately validates investors’ focus on Oracle’s cloud growth and data-center buildout.

Second-order effects

  • Rapid data-center openings and expansions make infrastructure capacity a more central execution variable for Oracle: demand growth must translate into deployed capacity without eroding the economics of its cloud-and-support base.
  • The result raises the bar for cloud rivals competing for enterprise workloads, since Oracle is pairing its installed support business with additional cloud capacity.

Third-order effects

  • If cloud and support continue to outgrow total revenue, Oracle’s mix will tilt further toward recurring infrastructure and subscription-like revenue rather than traditional license sales.
  • The pattern suggests that cloud competition will increasingly turn on the ability to finance, build, and utilize data-center capacity—not just on software distribution.

The trend: Oracle is one data point in the broader shift of enterprise software vendors toward recurring cloud revenue backed by owned infrastructure capacity.

Discussion

  • @bluechipdaily @bluechipdaily on x
    $ORCL +13%, new highs, after earnings, driven by AI/cloud infrastructure growth. “We're building 20 data centers from Microsoft and Azure. They just ordered three more data centers this week,” Ellison said. https://www.cnbc.com/... [image]
  • @charlesfitz Charles Fitzgerald on x
    When $ORCL says they “are opening new and expanding existing cloud datacenters very, very rapidly”, they are bonsai league compared to the hyperclouds. Clown, not cloud. [image]
  • @thetranscript_ @thetranscript_ on x
    Oracle beats EPS & revenues in-line. CEO: “...the demand for our Gen2 AI infrastructure substantially exceeds supply—despite the fact we are opening new and expanding existing cloud datacenters very, very rapidly” $ORCL: +9.4% AH [image]