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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Microsoft files a motion to dismiss the NYT's copyright lawsuit, accusing the NYT of “doomsday futurology” for predicting ChatGPT could ruin the news business

Financial Times :

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

Microsoft’s dismissal motion is the first major procedural response to the Times’ lawsuit alleging AI training used millions of its articles. It shifts the dispute from the complaint’s broad claims about training data and AI outputs to whether those allegations can survive at the pleading stage.

Related coverage already showed legal opinion split on the copyright and fair-use precedents that could govern the case. Microsoft’s attack on the Times’ projected business harm makes that uncertainty central rather than incidental.

First-order effects

  • Microsoft and the Times must now litigate whether the complaint states a viable copyright claim before the case reaches discovery; Microsoft’s filing directly contests the Times’ theory of future news-business harm.
  • The motion formally positions Microsoft against the Times’ claims alongside OpenAI, sharpening the defendants’ argument that alleged training and downstream outputs do not justify the relief sought.

Second-order effects

  • Other publishers weighing similar claims gain an early signal about how specifically they must plead copying, market harm, and AI-output substitution to avoid dismissal.
  • AI developers and news licensors will watch the ruling for leverage in negotiations: a strong dismissal outcome would strengthen developers’ bargaining position, while a refusal to dismiss would preserve publishers’ litigation leverage.

Third-order effects

  • The case is becoming a test of whether existing copyright doctrine can govern AI training and answer generation without a new, sector-specific licensing framework.
  • If courts repeatedly require concrete proof of market substitution rather than forecasts of industry disruption, disputes over AI content commercialization may move toward evidence about particular outputs and uses rather than training at scale.

The trend: Generative-AI copyright conflicts are moving from headline-grabbing complaints toward procedural tests of what evidence publishers need to connect model training to commercial harm.

Discussion

  • @crumbler Casey Newton on threads
    My cousin was the bassist in Doomsday Futurology
  • @tomaxwell Thomas Maxwell on x
    “doomsday futurology” is a new one
  • @asilbwrites Amanda Silberling on x
    doomsday futurology is my prog rock band