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Analysis: 126 companies have cancelled or suspended IPO applications on Shanghai's tech-focused Star Market in 2023, more than the previous four years combined

Policy reversal leads to record number of listing applications pulled this year from tech-focused Star Market X: @michaelxpettis , @raywangtaiwan , @michaelxpettis , @michaelxpettis , @tanarrowz , and @scottlincicome X: Michael Pettis / @michaelxpettis : 5/5 A top-down approach to technological innovation might generate most of the benefits of a bottom-up approach, with less waste and fraud, but perhaps not. It will be interesting to see if greater regulatory prudence can accommodate technological exuberance. Wei-Chieh Wang / @raywangtaiwan : Public records show 126 companies have cancelled or suspended IPO applications on Shanghai's Star Market so far in 2023, more than in the previous four years combined. @FT @FinancialTimes /1 Full: https://www.ft.com/... [image] Michael Pettis / @michaelxpettis : 1/5 According to the FT, “the city's stock exchange, acting on guidance from regulators led by the CSRC, has set higher standards for listing applications this year, in what amounts to a radical reversal of China's approach to encouraging innovation.” https://www.ft.com/... Michael Pettis / @michaelxpettis : 4/5 I understand why Beijing is concerned about avoiding excesses in its own technological push, and it may succeed, but it may well also be the case that we cannot get the former without the latter. I wrote about this in 2009, republished here: https://carnegieendowment.org/ ... @tanarrowz : Companies must now not only turn a profit but also explain in hundreds of pages how their technology is on par with, if not better than, industry leaders and whether their business model is sustainable before getting the IPO green light. https://www.ft.com/... via @ft Scott Lincicome / @scottlincicome : “China tech IPOs plunge as regulators turn tough on start-ups” https://www.ft.com/... “Letting regulators decide which high-tech companies should go public is like asking an eight-year-old child to choose the best moon-landing technology.... It will never succeed.” [image]

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

The 2023 pullback extends an earlier tightening cycle: a record wave of Star Market application suspensions was already evident in 2021 as scrutiny rose. The new total shows that the exchange's higher application standards, set following CSRC guidance, had become a far more consequential constraint on the domestic tech-listing pipeline.

It also follows a period in which Chinese startups were reaching public markets at valuations below their private rounds, underscoring that admission risk and financing conditions were jointly challenging the exit path.

First-order effects

  • Companies with pending Star Market applications face delayed, suspended, or cancelled routes to a Shanghai listing as the Shanghai Stock Exchange applies tighter standards under regulator guidance.
  • The CSRC and Shanghai Stock Exchange gain more practical control over which technology businesses can access this public-market funding channel.

Second-order effects

  • A narrower listing pipeline weakens a key exit route for founders and early investors, adding pressure to private financing and to companies whose public valuations had already fallen below private-round levels.
  • Other listing venues may become relatively more important for eligible Chinese tech issuers if Star Market approval remains restrictive; subsequent coverage of Chinese tech applications in Hong Kong illustrates the relevance of alternative domestic-region venues.

Third-order effects

  • If sustained, tighter pre-listing review shifts China’s tech-capital formation toward a more state-screened model, where regulatory fit matters alongside a company’s market readiness.
  • That can concentrate public-market access among firms able to meet evolving policy and disclosure expectations, while making the path from startup formation to public exit less predictable.

The trend: China’s technology-financing system is moving toward more regulator-mediated allocation of public-market access, trading a broader listing pipeline for tighter screening.

Discussion

  • @michaelxpettis Michael Pettis on x
    5/5 A top-down approach to technological innovation might generate most of the benefits of a bottom-up approach, with less waste and fraud, but perhaps not. It will be interesting to see if greater regulatory prudence can accommodate technological exuberance.
  • @michaelxpettis Michael Pettis on x
    4/5 I understand why Beijing is concerned about avoiding excesses in its own technological push, and it may succeed, but it may well also be the case that we cannot get the former without the latter. I wrote about this in 2009, republished here: https://carnegieendowment.org/ ...
  • @scottlincicome Scott Lincicome on x
    “China tech IPOs plunge as regulators turn tough on start-ups” https://www.ft.com/... “Letting regulators decide which high-tech companies should go public is like asking an eight-year-old child to choose the best moon-landing technology.... It will never succeed.” [image]
  • @tanarrowz @tanarrowz on x
    Companies must now not only turn a profit but also explain in hundreds of pages how their technology is on par with, if not better than, industry leaders and whether their business model is sustainable before getting the IPO green light. https://www.ft.com/... via @ft
  • @raywangtaiwan Wei-Chieh Wang on x
    Public records show 126 companies have cancelled or suspended IPO applications on Shanghai's Star Market so far in 2023, more than in the previous four years combined. @FT @FinancialTimes /1 Full: https://www.ft.com/... [image]
  • @michaelxpettis Michael Pettis on x
    1/5 According to the FT, “the city's stock exchange, acting on guidance from regulators led by the CSRC, has set higher standards for listing applications this year, in what amounts to a radical reversal of China's approach to encouraging innovation.” https://www.ft.com/...