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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Microsoft receives Notices of Proposed Adjustment from the IRS for an additional $28.9B tax payment; Microsoft plans to appeal, a process expected to take years

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella arrives at federal court on October 2, 2023 in Washington, DC.  Nadella is testifying …

CNBC Jake Piazza

Context & Ripple Effects

This notice is the latest development in a long-running tax audit that previously drew testimony demands for former Microsoft leaders, as covered in the IRS’s earlier effort to question Microsoft executives.

Microsoft has already shown how tax-policy actions can materially affect reported results: its 2018 quarterly loss included a $13.8B charge tied to the tax overhaul. The new dispute puts another large tax outcome into a multiyear review process.

First-order effects

  • Microsoft must contest an IRS proposal seeking $28.9B in additional tax, leaving the ultimate liability unresolved during an appeal expected to last years.
  • The IRS and Microsoft move from audit findings into an administrative dispute, extending scrutiny of the company’s historical tax arrangements.

Second-order effects

  • A prolonged case can keep a large contingent tax exposure in focus for Microsoft’s investors and financial planning, even though the proposed amount is not a final payment.
  • The outcome will be closely watched by other large companies facing IRS examinations, particularly as it may clarify how aggressively proposed adjustments are contested.

Third-order effects

  • If large corporate tax disputes continue to be resolved through years-long appeals, tax enforcement becomes less about immediate collections and more about sustained litigation capacity and negotiated outcomes.
  • The case underscores that major changes in corporate tax treatment can create significant reporting and capital-allocation uncertainty long after the underlying conduct or policy change.

The trend: Large-company tax enforcement is increasingly playing out through high-stakes, multiyear disputes rather than quick final assessments.

Discussion

  • @daveleebbg Dave Lee on threads
    Certainly puts that letter I got from the IRS three weeks ago into perspective
  • @bdsams Brad Sams on x
    TLDR: - This is related to transfer pricing (a classic in corp finance) - This will not get resolved anytime soon and will be fought in court for many (many) years
  • @mgsiegler M.G. Siegler on x
    Who amongst us...
  • @fosspatents Florian Mueller on x
    State aid is a field of competition law like merger control. Now, the U.S. case is purely about transfer pricing. The way it works legally is that there is a range of what would be “arm's length” pricing (i.e. what total strangers might agree upon). 🧵2/2
  • @fosspatents Florian Mueller on x
    Vestager wanted to Apple to pay $13B to the Irish tax authority (which declined) and lost the first appeal, as I had predicted in several blog posts. But that was an overly ambitious attempt to make Ireland's low taxes a “state aid” issue. 🧵1/2
  • r/microsoft r on reddit
    IRS says Microsoft owes an additional $29 billion in back taxes
  • r/Superstonk r on reddit
    Looks like some sort of bill has finally come due.
  • r/news r on reddit
    IRS says Microsoft owes an additional $29 billion in back taxes
  • r/wallstreetbets r on reddit
    IRS says Microsoft owes an additional $29 billion in back taxes