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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Qualcomm says Apple extended its modem deal for three more years, covering “smartphone launches in 2024, 2025, and 2026”; the prior deal was set to end in 2023

- Pact between the companies had been scheduled to end this year  — The iPhone maker has been trying to create its own components

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple had previously diversified iPhone modem sourcing when Intel won a contract to supply some iPhones, but Qualcomm had already said it expected to retain the vast majority of 2023 volume. The extension converts that near-term expectation into a supply commitment through the 2026 launch cycle.

The deal matters because it gives Apple more time for its in-house component effort while preserving continuity in a technically critical iPhone subsystem. Subsequent coverage of a possible delay to Apple’s own modem underscores how closely the contract timetable and Apple’s development schedule are connected.

First-order effects

  • Qualcomm keeps Apple as a modem customer for iPhone launches in 2024, 2025 and 2026, extending its revenue visibility beyond the agreement that had been due to end in 2023.
  • Apple secures an established modem supply path while its internal alternative remains under development.

Second-order effects

  • Apple’s in-house modem program faces less immediate pressure to replace Qualcomm across the iPhone line, allowing a phased transition rather than a forced cutover.
  • Qualcomm’s continued iPhone position limits the near-term opening for alternative modem suppliers that might otherwise compete for Apple volume.

Third-order effects

  • The arrangement illustrates how long-term chip supply contracts can coexist with vertical-integration ambitions: a customer can fund an internal replacement while relying on an incumbent to protect product launch schedules.
  • If Apple ultimately deploys its own modem in stages, modem suppliers may increasingly need to plan for large customers to move from broad external sourcing to narrower, transitional contracts.

The trend: Major device makers are using multi-year supplier agreements as a bridge while pursuing greater control over strategically important silicon.

Discussion

  • @fosspatents Florian Mueller on x
    Congratulations to @Qualcomm @cristianoamon on a new multi-year chipset deal with @Apple. Qualcomm is an innovation powerhouse. https://www.qualcomm.com/...
  • @saschasegan Sascha Segan on x
    I reviewed every iPhone from the original to the 13 series. They're great devices, and one of the things that makes them great is using the best possible modems. They went through a run of Intel modems which were ... not so great. So this is excellent news for all #Apple fans.
  • @saschasegan Sascha Segan on x
    Hey tech press friends. Got some #iPhone 15, 16 and 17 (!) news you might be interested in. https://www.qualcomm.com/...
  • @bzamayo Benjamin Mayo on x
    No Apple modem inside until iPhone 17 or maybe iPhone 18 https://9to5mac.com/...
  • @markgurman Mark Gurman on x
    NEW: Qualcomm and Apple extend modem supply agreement through 2026 on the eve of iPhone 15 introduction. Deal was set to expire this year. Agreement reflects Apple's continued modem development delays.