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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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KPMG, Coatue, VC firm Headline, and other investors are using AI to help pick acquisition targets and startups for investment, hoping for an edge over rivals

Accountancy firm KPMG, hedge fund Coatue and VC firm Headline among those incorporating the technology Tweets: @psb_dc Tweets: @psb_dc : I have so many questions ... first off, how do we handle the bias in the historical data? Will #femalefounders get even less funding? #AI #Algorithms #Startups #Funding cc @hessiejones @STYLISA @stephfoster2020 @EmLindley https://www.ft.com/... via @FinancialTimes

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

AI-assisted dealmaking has been building for a while: back in 2021 some VC firms were already running algorithms over investment decisions, with Gartner forecasting AI involvement in 75% of them by 2025. What changes here is who is adopting it — not just venture firms but an accountancy firm (KPMG) and a hedge fund (Coatue), meaning the technique is spreading past its original VC beachhead into advisory M&A work and public-market investing.

First-order effects

  • KPMG, Coatue and Headline get faster, wider screening of acquisition targets and startups, turning deal sourcing — historically a relationships game — into a partially computational task where early adopters see targets rivals miss.
  • The adoption lands amid open questions about training data: the FT coverage itself surfaces concerns that models trained on historical funding patterns could reinforce existing biases against groups like female founders.

Second-order effects

  • Rival funds and advisory firms face pressure to deploy comparable screening tools or concede first look at AI-flagged targets — a dynamic already visible as Accel and Sequoia audit their portfolios for AI exposure while most new Sequoia India deals turn AI-related.
  • If many funds converge on similar models and data sources, they risk bidding up the same algorithmically surfaced startups, echoing the crowding PitchBook documented in US AI rounds where a large share of capital concentrated in a handful of companies.

Third-order effects

  • If Gartner's trajectory holds, AI screening becomes table stakes and competitive advantage migrates from the model itself to proprietary data and access — the endpoint sketched in Wired's look at agentic investors analyzing pitch decks and teams.
  • Reliability becomes the constraint on the pattern: KPMG's own experience retracting an AI benefits report built partly on hallucinated case studies illustrates why AI-generated analysis still needs human verification before it drives capital allocation.

The trend: Investment decision-making is shifting from purely human judgment to AI-augmented screening, spreading from venture capital into hedge funds and professional-services M&A advice.

Discussion

  • @psb_dc @psb_dc on x
    I have so many questions ... first off, how do we handle the bias in the historical data? Will #femalefounders get even less funding? #AI #Algorithms #Startups #Funding cc @hessiejones @STYLISA @stephfoster2020 @EmLindley https://www.ft.com/... via @FinancialTimes