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BlackBerry beats expectations with Q3 loss of $89M and revenue up 12% from last quarter to $548M, optimistic Priv will break even in Q4; stock up over 11%

Jason Cipriani / Fortune :

Fortune Jason Cipriani

Context & Ripple Effects

A year after BlackBerry's surprise $28M quarterly profit came alongside revenue cut in half from $6.8B to $3.3B, the company has posted another better-than-expected quarter — an $89M loss on revenue of $548M, up 12% sequentially — with the new Android-powered Priv positioned as the make-or-break hardware bet. Investors read the beat plus the break-even forecast for the Priv as evidence the turnaround is holding, sending the stock up more than 11%.

First-order effects

  • BlackBerry shareholders get an immediate payoff: the beat against expectations lifts the stock over 11% in one session.
  • The Priv now carries the hardware strategy on its own — management's Q4 break-even commitment means every unit shortfall flows straight to the loss line.

Second-order effects

  • If the Priv misses its break-even target, pressure mounts to shrink the handset business further and redirect spending toward software and services — the segment that, per later reporting, would come to make up 55% of revenue while phones fell to 23% ($301M Q3 revenue, below the $332M expected).

Third-order effects

  • The pattern across these quarters points to BlackBerry exiting the volume phone business entirely and re-rating as a software company: by 2017 it had strung together a sixth straight adjusted-earnings beat explicitly credited to the shift toward higher-margin software, though the path ran through misses like the 600K-phone Q4 with a $238M loss.

The trend: BlackBerry's earnings cadence traces the industry's broader migration of struggling handset makers from hardware volume to higher-margin software and services.