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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Sources: the FDIC is racing to sell SVB's assets and make 30% to 50% or more of clients' uninsured deposits available as soon as Monday

US regulators overseeing the emergency breakup of SVB Financial Group are racing to sell assets and make a portion of clients' uninsured deposits available …

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

The FDIC's proposed partial payout directly changes the position of SVB customers whose balances were not insured: on the same day, hedge funds were reportedly bidding 60 to 80 cents on the dollar for those deposits. Early access to funds would reduce the need for customers to accept those distressed-sale prices.

The liquidity step was only the opening phase of the resolution. Subsequent coverage shows the FDIC struggled to find a buyer for all of SVB's assets and ultimately moved toward separate auctions for the deposit business and private bank.

First-order effects

  • SVB customers with uninsured balances gain access to an initial portion of cash, while the FDIC retains responsibility for converting remaining assets into recoveries.
  • Hedge funds offering to buy SVB deposits at a discount face less urgency from depositors able to obtain a partial FDIC distribution.

Second-order effects

  • The lack of a buyer for SVB as a whole shifts the FDIC's sale process toward distinct businesses, broadening the set of potential bidders but fragmenting the resolution.
  • Buyers of SVB assets and businesses must price them against the FDIC's continuing payout obligations, rather than acquiring a clean, fully resolved institution.

Third-order effects

  • The episode points to bank-failure resolutions relying on interim depositor liquidity while regulators market assets in pieces when an all-in buyer does not emerge.
  • For depositors and distressed investors, the timing and size of regulator distributions become a key determinant of whether uninsured claims trade at steep discounts.

The trend: Bank resolutions are moving toward a two-track model: immediate partial liquidity for depositors followed by segmented asset sales when a whole-bank deal fails.

Discussion

  • @mittromney Mitt Romney on x
    Silicon Valley Bank's shareholders and executives lose it all, as they should. Depositors in good faith, however, should recover and have access to their deposits in order to meet their payrolls, pay their suppliers, and to prevent contagion.
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    The SVB discourse has already turned into a background hum of nonsense. The FDIC will work to make depositors whole because the alternative will both devastate the tech sector and lead to more bank runs. Victim blaming depositors is schadenfreude pretending to be business savvy
  • @ellebeyoud Lydia Beyoud on x
    Just posted on @theterminal FDIC is looking to make 30-50% of uninsured deposits available to Silicon Valley Bank SVB customers on Monday. Final figure still being hashed out. With @SalehaMohsin & @sridinats https://twitter.com/...
  • @davemcclure Dave McClure on x
    JFC, Bloomberg buried the fucking lede here... read last 3 paragraphs: https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @nkulw Noah Kulwin on x
    Back in my day... the fdic takes over a bank on Friday and then you didn't hear peep until Monday... https://twitter.com/...
  • @yoda Drew Olanoff on x
    Race faster. https://twitter.com/...
  • @bijans Bijan Salehizadeh on x
    Not good - also 30-50% of uninsured only to be paid “The FDIC has been laying groundwork for a potentially drawn-out sale process...despite efforts to reach a resolution quickly, a piecemeal sale spanning weeks or months looked more probable” https://www.bloomberg.com/...