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Chronicles

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Elliptic: pro-Ukraine causes received $200M+ in crypto donations in the last year, with $80M+ sent directly to Ukraine's government; Russian entities got ~$5M

Plus updates on all the big names, including Binance and FTX … Crypto's impact on geopolitical issues does not often make for uplifting reading.

Financial Times Scott Chipolina

Context & Ripple Effects

This is Elliptic's one-year ledger of a war funded on public blockchains. The arc is steep: within days of the invasion the government's wallets held nearly $20M in ether and bitcoin, plus a $10M Binance pledge, by early March that had grown to $50M+ across 89K assets, and now pro-Ukraine causes total $200M+ for the year, with $80M+ reaching the government directly.

The mirror number is the point: Russian entities pulled in only ~$5M, despite researchers documenting $4M+ to military and paramilitary groups before Ukraine moved to block those donation routes. One blockchain rail, two very different outcomes — and Elliptic's on-chain forensics are how either side's totals get counted at all.

First-order effects

  • Ukraine's government now holds $80M+ in directly donated crypto — sovereign wartime funding arriving at wallet addresses rather than through banking channels or allied appropriations.
  • Donors get a verified direct channel: Elliptic's attribution lets them confirm funds reach Ukrainian causes rather than impersonators or sanctioned recipients.

Second-order effects

  • Blockchain-analytics firms like Elliptic become arbiters of wartime fundraising legitimacy — their wallet attributions determine which campaigns stay open and which get flagged, as Ukraine's blocking of Russian military wallets already showed.
  • The ~$5M Russian haul versus $200M+ on the Ukrainian side pressures Russian fundraisers toward obfuscation (mixers, fresh wallets), raising costs and pushing more of that activity into harder-to-trace corners of the market.

Third-order effects

  • States are learning to treat public blockchains as geopolitical infrastructure — both as a fundraising rail (Ukraine) and as an attack surface to freeze (Russian military wallets) — which argues for wallet-level policy becoming standard alongside sanctions.
  • If the pattern holds, crisis financing shifts structurally toward grassroots, globally distributed donation networks whose scale outpaces traditional institutional channels — with analytics firms holding the audit power over who actually gets paid.

The trend: Wartime finance is migrating onto public blockchains, where every flow is simultaneously a fundraising channel and an auditable record — making analytics firms the scorekeepers of conflict funding.