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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A social media post by two academics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences outlines plans to circumvent US chip sanctions, including patents on next-gen chipmaking

Bloomberg :

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

The post lands just months after [[a:983632|experts warned the October 2022 US export controls could cripple China's semiconductor and AI development]], making it an early, unusually public sign that at least some state-affiliated researchers were treating those controls as an engineering problem rather than a ceiling. That two academics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences would openly outline circumvention — including filing patents on next-generation chipmaking — signals intent being broadcast rather than hidden.

First-order effects

  • US export-control architects now have a documented, public playbook from inside a flagship Chinese research institution, sharpening scrutiny of academic channels as a sanctions-bypass vector.
  • The stated plan to patent next-gen chipmaking techniques puts Chinese IP filings on the same track as hardware workarounds, expanding what Washington's controls would need to cover beyond shipped equipment.

Second-order effects

Third-order effects

  • If patent-first circumvention becomes standard practice, export control migrates from denying equipment to contesting knowledge itself — a harder regime where the battleground is who owns the next generation's process IP.
  • China's countermove of probing whether US chipmakers benefit unfairly from grants (a planned investigation into US subsidy advantages) suggests both sides are institutionalizing retaliation, entrenching the chip war as standing policy rather than episodic escalation.

The trend: US chip export controls are evolving from one-time chokepoint denials into a running cat-and-mouse, with each disclosed Chinese workaround — academic patents, chiplets, broker networks — triggering tighter US parameters and formal Chinese countermeasures.

Discussion

  • @byron_wan Byron Wan on x
    “Beijing should amass a portfolio of patents that govern the next generation of chipmaking, from novel materials to new techniques. That should give China the clout to push back against US sanctions designed to hamstring its semiconductor sector.” 1/n https://www.bloomberg.com/..…